Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 12
KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen
KV Mechelen host Club Brugge KV on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: KV Mechelen 11%, draw 19%, Club Brugge KV 70%.
- Average value of the expected XI: KV Mechelen €1.3M, Club Brugge KV €11.4M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Pro League matchday 12: 486 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Pro League average of 25% this round.
- Pro League: Y. Sommer is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2329).
- Club Brugge KV's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.8 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. KV Mechelen goals first.
- 0–210%
- 1–29%
- 1–18%
- 0–38%
- 1–38%
- 0–17%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 4.9 pts
Team Elo: KV Mechelen 1724 · Club Brugge KV 2210
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
KV Mechelen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1797
Club Brugge KV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Good) · Elo 2330
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KV Mechelen
11th in Pro League · 12 pts from 11
- 7 NovLOH Leuven Belgium Pro League1752
- 4 NovWKortrijk Belgium Pro League1736
- 31 OctWGenk Belgium Pro League1690
- 11 OctWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1700
- 19 SepDLommel United Belgium Pro League1699
Club Brugge KV
2nd in Pro League · 28 pts from 11
- 8 NovDAnderlecht Belgium Pro League2224
- 4 NovWPSV Eindhoven UEFA Champions League2269
- 30 OctWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League2260
- 25 OctWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League2254
- 21 OctWLens UEFA Champions League2226
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 12 /11 | 37.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 15th |
| Club Brugge KV | 28 /11 | 79.4 | 63% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KV Mechelen: balanced profile (how Frederic Vanderbiest plays) · Club Brugge KV: possession-based · creative (how Ivan Leko plays)