Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 32
Kuressaare 0–2 FC Levadia Tallinn
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
KuressaareTeam 1327FC Levadia TallinnTeam 1639We gave FC Levadia Tallinn 58% to win: they did.
- 13'M. Lukka – (own goal)FC Levadia Tallinn:M. Lukka – (own goal)
- R. Talu – for G. Roivassepp –55'Kuressaare:R. Talu – for G. Roivassepp –
- S. Sinilaid – for A. Kivi –55'Kuressaare:S. Sinilaid – for A. Kivi –
- 62'G. Reis – for E. Otoo –FC Levadia Tallinn:G. Reis – for E. Otoo –
- 62'R. Peetson – for G. Lehtmets –FC Levadia Tallinn:R. Peetson – for G. Lehtmets –
- 66'Wendell –FC Levadia Tallinn:Wendell –
- 78'N. Kutateladze – for Wendell –FC Levadia Tallinn:N. Kutateladze – for Wendell –
- 78'R. Kirss – for Alexandre –FC Levadia Tallinn:R. Kirss – for Alexandre –
Before kick-off (provisional): 18% · 24% · 58%(Kuressaare · draw · FC Levadia Tallinn)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–2 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kuressaare €166K, FC Levadia Tallinn €439K.
- Meistriliiga: K. Vallner was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1751).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kuressaare
8th in Meistriliiga · 35 pts from 31
- 14 OctWTrans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga1300
- 29 AugDVaprus Estonia Meistriliiga1298
- 31 MayDPaide Estonia Meistriliiga1326
- 20 MayWNõmme United Estonia Meistriliiga1331
- 17 MayLKalju Nomme Estonia Meistriliiga1308
FC Levadia Tallinn
1st in Meistriliiga · 78 pts from 31
- 30 JulLIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1691
- 21 JulWIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1673
- 16 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 9 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 30 MayWTammeka Estonia Meistriliiga1652
Season outlook
From the Meistriliiga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuressaare | 35 /31 | 40.6 | 0% | 0% | 70% | 8th |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 78 /31 | 88.4 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Levadia Tallinn · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1742
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –