Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 30
KuPS vs Gnistan
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Vare Areena, Kuopio
KuPS host Gnistan on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Veikkausliiga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: KuPS 56%, draw 25%, Gnistan 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: KuPS €316K, Gnistan €175K.
- Veikkausliiga: J. Kreidl is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1658).
- Style contrast in possession (Veikkausliiga): KuPS rank #2 of 10, Gnistan #10.
- Gnistan's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. KuPS goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: KuPS 1572 · Gnistan 1411
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
KuPS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1457
Gnistan · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1470
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KuPS
1st in Veikkausliiga · 43 pts from 22
- 18 OctWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1606
- 15 OctLTrabzonspor UEFA Conference League1533
- 11 OctLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1557
- 8 OctLAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1605
- 19 SepWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1548
Gnistan
4th in Veikkausliiga · 36 pts from 22
- 17 OctLHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1411
- 12 OctLVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1393
- 7 OctDInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1434
- 18 SepDHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1367
- 12 SepWAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1400
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 51 /28 | 57.2 | 30% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
| Gnistan | 42 /28 | 46.8 | 0% | 61% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KuPS: possession-based (how Miika Nuutinen plays) · Gnistan: direct (how Jussi Leppälahti plays)