Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 26
KuPS 0–1 AC Oulu
Thu 8 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio
KuPSTeam 1569AC OuluTeam 1296We gave KuPS 65% to win: AC Oulu won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%(KuPS · draw · AC Oulu)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 0–1 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: KuPS €407K, AC Oulu €193K.
- Veikkausliiga: J. Kreidl was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1687).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KuPS
1st in Veikkausliiga · 43 pts from 22
- 19 SepWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1548
- 13 SepDHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1505
- 8 SepDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1572
- 31 AugLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1567
- 27 AugWShamrock Rovers UEFA Conference League1608
AC Oulu
5th in Veikkausliiga · 34 pts from 22
- 18 SepLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1393
- 12 SepLGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1380
- 8 SepLVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1381
- 31 AugDSJK Finland Veikkausliiga1392
- 22 AugWFF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga1378
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 48 /25 | 59.6 | 61% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| AC Oulu | 34 /25 | 40.9 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
KuPS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1484
AC Oulu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1399
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.