Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Samara Arena, Samara
Krylia Sovetov host Zenit on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Krylia Sovetov 15%, draw 22%, Zenit 63%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Krylia Sovetov €920K, Zenit €8.8M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Liga matchday 13: 449 points.
- Premier Liga: D. Adamov is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2156).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Premier Liga): Krylia Sovetov rank #14 of 15, Zenit #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Krylia Sovetov goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Krylia Sovetov 1677 · Zenit 2126
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Krylia Sovetov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1798
Zenit · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2153
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Krylia Sovetov
11th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 11
- 17 OctLFakel Russia Premier League1700
- 10 OctDSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1702
- 16 SepDLokomotiv Russia Premier League1680
- 11 SepWRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1692
- 5 SepDFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1691
Zenit
2nd in Premier Liga · 24 pts from 11
- 18 OctWAkhmat Russia Premier League2143
- 10 OctWFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League2132
- 16 SepWBaltika Russia Premier League2109
- 12 SepWLokomotiv Russia Premier League2067
- 5 SepLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League2089
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 12 /11 | 33.0 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 12th |
| Zenit | 24 /11 | 65.2 | 68% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Krylia Sovetov: balanced profile (how Sergey Bulatov plays) · Zenit: possession-based · disciplined (how Sergey Semak plays)