Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Spartak Moscow
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara
Krylia SovetovTeam 1667
Spartak MoscowTeam 1996Match story
Krylia Sovetov · draw · Spartak MoscowBefore kick-off: 21% · 26% · 53%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.
- Martin Kramarič 86'
- Manfred Ugalde 79'
We gave Spartak Moscow 53% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 24'Aleksandr Maksimenko 2017 −8*
Spartak Moscow:Aleksandr Maksimenko 2017 −8* - 26'Ilya Pomazun 1635 −8* for Marquinhos 1971 −9*
Spartak Moscow:Ilya Pomazun 1635 −8* for Marquinhos 1971 −9* - Amar Rahmanović 1663 −8*55'
Krylia Sovetov:Amar Rahmanović 1663 −8* - Denis Makarov 1750 −8* for Amar Rahmanović 1663 −8*60'
Krylia Sovetov:Denis Makarov 1750 −8* for Amar Rahmanović 1663 −8* - Ilzat Akhmetov 1632 −4* for Nikita Saltykov 1577 −4*60'
Krylia Sovetov:Ilzat Akhmetov 1632 −4* for Nikita Saltykov 1577 −4* - Vitaliy Shitov 1453 0* for Maksim Vityugov 1692 −6*60'
Krylia Sovetov:Vitaliy Shitov 1453 0* for Maksim Vityugov 1692 −6* - 65'Daniil Denisov 2007 −8* for Roman Zobnin 1908 −13*
Spartak Moscow:Daniil Denisov 2007 −8* for Roman Zobnin 1908 −13* - 65'Victor Parada 1969 −8* for Pablo Solari 2056 −10*
Spartak Moscow:Victor Parada 1969 −8* for Pablo Solari 2056 −10* - Kirill Stolbov 1470 −6* for Kirill Pechenin 1786 070'
Krylia Sovetov:Kirill Stolbov 1470 −6* for Kirill Pechenin 1786 0 - 78'Igor Dmitriev 1729 −8* for Esequiel Barco 2054 −11*
Spartak Moscow:Igor Dmitriev 1729 −8* for Esequiel Barco 2054 −11* - 78'Danil Prutsev 1903 −8* for Srdjan Babic 1910 −3
Spartak Moscow:Danil Prutsev 1903 −8* for Srdjan Babic 1910 −3 - 79'Manfred Ugalde 1990 −13* assist Igor Dmitriev 1729 −8*
Spartak Moscow:Manfred Ugalde 1990 −13* assist Igor Dmitriev 1729 −8* - 83'Manfred Ugalde 1990 −13*
Spartak Moscow:Manfred Ugalde 1990 −13* - Kazbek Mukailov 1666 −7* for Yuriy Gorshkov 1796 −6*85'
Krylia Sovetov:Kazbek Mukailov 1666 −7* for Yuriy Gorshkov 1796 −6* - Martin Kramarič 1702 +2* assist Kazbek Mukailov 1666 −7*86'
Krylia Sovetov:Martin Kramarič 1702 +2* assist Kazbek Mukailov 1666 −7* - 90+1'Gedson Fernandes 2041 −11*
Spartak Moscow:Gedson Fernandes 2041 −11*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 21% · 26% · 53%(Krylia Sovetov · draw · Spartak Moscow)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Krylia Sovetov €930K, Spartak Moscow €5.2M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Liga matchday 10: 302 points.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Premier Liga): Krylia Sovetov ranked #14 of 15, Spartak Moscow #2.
- All 11 of Krylia Sovetov's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
- Krylia Sovetov were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Krylia Sovetov
10th in Premier Liga · 11 pts from 9
- 16 SepDLokomotiv Russia Premier League1680
- 11 SepWRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1692
- 5 SepDFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1691
- 29 AugDAkhmat Russia Premier League1712
- 23 AugWAkron Russia Premier League1683
Spartak Moscow
4th in Premier Liga · 19 pts from 9
- 16 SepWFakel Russia Premier League1986
- 13 SepWFC Rostov Russia Premier League1992
- 6 SepLDynamo Russia Premier League2011
- 30 AugDFC Orenburg Russia Premier League2003
- 23 AugWZenit Russia Premier League2012
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 11 /9 | 35.3 | 0% | <1% | 12% | 10th |
| Spartak Moscow | 19 /9 | 57.3 | 15% | 82% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Krylia Sovetov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1820

Spartak Moscow · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2026
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Krylia Sovetov: balanced profile (how Sergey Bulatov plays) · Spartak Moscow: possession-based (how Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.