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Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Spartak Moscow

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara

Krylia Sovetov crestKrylia SovetovTeam 1667
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Spartak Moscow crestSpartak MoscowTeam 1996

Match story

Krylia Sovetov · draw · Spartak Moscow

Before kick-off: 21% · 26% · 53%

Live chances: Krylia Sovetov 0%, draw 100%, Spartak Moscow 0% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 26%, Spartak Moscow 53%3' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 26%, Spartak Moscow 53%4' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 26%, Spartak Moscow 53%5' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 26%, Spartak Moscow 52%6' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 27%, Spartak Moscow 52%7' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 27%, Spartak Moscow 52%8' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 27%, Spartak Moscow 52%9' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 27%, Spartak Moscow 52%10' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 27%, Spartak Moscow 51%11' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 27%, Spartak Moscow 51%12' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 28%, Spartak Moscow 51%13' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 28%, Spartak Moscow 51%14' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 28%, Spartak Moscow 51%15' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 28%, Spartak Moscow 50%16' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 28%, Spartak Moscow 50%17' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 29%, Spartak Moscow 50%18' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 29%, Spartak Moscow 50%19' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 29%, Spartak Moscow 50%20' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 29%, Spartak Moscow 49%21' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 29%, Spartak Moscow 49%22' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 30%, Spartak Moscow 49%23' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 30%, Spartak Moscow 49%24' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 30%, Spartak Moscow 48%25' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 38%, draw 33%, Spartak Moscow 30%26' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 33%, Spartak Moscow 30%27' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 33%, Spartak Moscow 30%28' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 33%, Spartak Moscow 29%29' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 33%, Spartak Moscow 29%30' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 34%, Spartak Moscow 29%31' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 34%, Spartak Moscow 29%32' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 34%, Spartak Moscow 29%33' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 35%, Spartak Moscow 29%34' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 36%, draw 35%, Spartak Moscow 29%35' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 36%, draw 35%, Spartak Moscow 29%36' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 36%, draw 35%, Spartak Moscow 28%37' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 36%, draw 36%, Spartak Moscow 28%38' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 36%, draw 36%, Spartak Moscow 28%39' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 36%, draw 36%, Spartak Moscow 28%40' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 36%, draw 37%, Spartak Moscow 28%43' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 35%, draw 38%, Spartak Moscow 27%44' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 35%, draw 38%, Spartak Moscow 27%45' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 36%, Spartak Moscow 43%45+1' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 34%, draw 39%, Spartak Moscow 27%45+2' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 34%, draw 39%, Spartak Moscow 27%HT · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 34%, draw 40%, Spartak Moscow 26%46' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 34%, draw 40%, Spartak Moscow 26%47' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 34%, draw 40%, Spartak Moscow 26%48' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 33%, draw 41%, Spartak Moscow 26%49' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 33%, draw 41%, Spartak Moscow 26%50' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 33%, draw 42%, Spartak Moscow 25%51' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 33%, draw 42%, Spartak Moscow 25%52' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 32%, draw 43%, Spartak Moscow 25%53' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 32%, draw 43%, Spartak Moscow 25%54' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 32%, draw 44%, Spartak Moscow 24%55' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 31%, draw 45%, Spartak Moscow 24%57' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 31%, draw 46%, Spartak Moscow 23%58' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 30%, draw 47%, Spartak Moscow 23%59' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 30%, draw 47%, Spartak Moscow 23%60' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 29%, draw 48%, Spartak Moscow 22%61' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 29%, draw 49%, Spartak Moscow 22%62' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 29%, draw 50%, Spartak Moscow 22%63' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 28%, draw 50%, Spartak Moscow 22%65' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 27%, draw 52%, Spartak Moscow 21%66' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 27%, draw 53%, Spartak Moscow 20%67' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 27%, draw 53%, Spartak Moscow 20%68' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 26%, draw 54%, Spartak Moscow 20%69' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 26%, draw 55%, Spartak Moscow 19%70' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 25%, draw 56%, Spartak Moscow 19%71' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 25%, draw 57%, Spartak Moscow 19%72' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 24%, draw 58%, Spartak Moscow 18%73' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 23%, draw 59%, Spartak Moscow 18%74' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 23%, draw 60%, Spartak Moscow 17%75' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 22%, draw 61%, Spartak Moscow 17%76' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 22%, draw 62%, Spartak Moscow 16%77' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 21%, draw 63%, Spartak Moscow 16%78' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 20%, draw 65%, Spartak Moscow 15%79' · 0–0 · Krylia Sovetov 19%, draw 66%, Spartak Moscow 15%80' · 0–1 · Krylia Sovetov 3%, draw 19%, Spartak Moscow 78%81' · 0–1 · Krylia Sovetov 3%, draw 18%, Spartak Moscow 79%82' · 0–1 · Krylia Sovetov 2%, draw 17%, Spartak Moscow 80%83' · 0–1 · Krylia Sovetov 2%, draw 17%, Spartak Moscow 81%84' · 0–1 · Krylia Sovetov 2%, draw 16%, Spartak Moscow 82%85' · 0–1 · Krylia Sovetov 2%, draw 15%, Spartak Moscow 83%86' · 0–1 · Krylia Sovetov 1%, draw 14%, Spartak Moscow 84%87' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 13%, draw 78%, Spartak Moscow 10%88' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 12%, draw 80%, Spartak Moscow 9%89' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 11%, draw 82%, Spartak Moscow 8%90' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 9%, draw 84%, Spartak Moscow 7%90+1' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 8%, draw 86%, Spartak Moscow 6%90+2' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 7%, draw 88%, Spartak Moscow 5%90+3' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 5%, draw 91%, Spartak Moscow 4%90+4' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 4%, draw 93%, Spartak Moscow 3%90+5' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 2%, draw 96%, Spartak Moscow 2%90+6' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 1%, draw 99%, Spartak Moscow 1%90+7' · 1–1 · Krylia Sovetov 0%, draw 100%, Spartak Moscow 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Spartak Moscow 53% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 24'Spartak Moscow:Aleksandr Maksimenko 2017 −8*
  2. 26'Spartak Moscow:Ilya Pomazun 1635 −8* for Marquinhos 1971 −9*
  3. 55'Krylia Sovetov:Amar Rahmanović 1663 −8*
  4. 60'Krylia Sovetov:Denis Makarov 1750 −8* for Amar Rahmanović 1663 −8*
  5. 60'Krylia Sovetov:Ilzat Akhmetov 1632 −4* for Nikita Saltykov 1577 −4*
  6. 60'Krylia Sovetov:Vitaliy Shitov 1453 0* for Maksim Vityugov 1692 −6*
  7. 65'Spartak Moscow:Daniil Denisov 2007 −8* for Roman Zobnin 1908 −13*
  8. 65'Spartak Moscow:Victor Parada 1969 −8* for Pablo Solari 2056 −10*
  9. 70'Krylia Sovetov:Kirill Stolbov 1470 −6* for Kirill Pechenin 1786 0
  10. 78'Spartak Moscow:Igor Dmitriev 1729 −8* for Esequiel Barco 2054 −11*
  11. 78'Spartak Moscow:Danil Prutsev 1903 −8* for Srdjan Babic 1910 −3
  12. 79'Spartak Moscow:Manfred Ugalde 1990 −13* assist Igor Dmitriev 1729 −8*
  13. 83'Spartak Moscow:Manfred Ugalde 1990 −13*
  14. 85'Krylia Sovetov:Kazbek Mukailov 1666 −7* for Yuriy Gorshkov 1796 −6*
  15. 86'Krylia Sovetov:Martin Kramarič 1702 +2* assist Kazbek Mukailov 1666 −7*
  16. 90+1'Spartak Moscow:Gedson Fernandes 2041 −11*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GN. Kokarev1710−4*
DN. Rasskazov1767−4*
DN. Chernov1817−4*
DS. Bozhin1725−1*
MY. Gorshkov1796−6*
MN. Saltykov1577−4*
MM. Vityugov1692−6*
CS. Bulatov1236+15*
DC. Wooh2048−15*
DS. Babić1910−3
DR. Zobnin1908−13*
MR. Litvinov2017−10*
MN. Umyarov2025−10*
MP. Solari2056−10*
ME. Barco2054−11*
MMarquinhos1971−9*
FM. Ugalde1990−13*
CCarcedo1984−11*
Before kick-off: 21% · 26% · 53%(Krylia Sovetov · draw · Spartak Moscow)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Krylia Sovetov €930K, Spartak Moscow €5.2M.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Liga matchday 10: 302 points.
  • Style contrast in chance creation (Premier Liga): Krylia Sovetov ranked #14 of 15, Spartak Moscow #2.
  • All 11 of Krylia Sovetov's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
  • Krylia Sovetov were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Krylia Sovetov

10th in Premier Liga · 11 pts from 9

  • 16 SepDLokomotiv 1680
  • 11 SepWRodina Moskva 1692
  • 5 SepDFC Krasnodar 1691
  • 29 AugDAkhmat 1712
  • 23 AugWAkron 1683

Spartak Moscow

4th in Premier Liga · 19 pts from 9

  • 16 SepWFakel 1986
  • 13 SepWFC Rostov 1992
  • 6 SepLDynamo 2011
  • 30 AugDFC Orenburg 2003
  • 23 AugWZenit 2012

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Krylia Sovetov11 /935.30%<1%12%10th
Spartak Moscow19 /957.315%82%0%3rd
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Chernov
N. Chernov

Krylia Sovetov · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1820

R. Litvinov
R. Litvinov

Spartak Moscow · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2026

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Sergey Bulatov

Coach DNA: –

Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Krylia Sovetov: balanced profile (how Sergey Bulatov plays) · Spartak Moscow: possession-based (how Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.