Premier League · Regular Season - 14
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Samara Arena, Samara
Krylia Sovetov host FC Orenburg on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Krylia Sovetov 43%, draw 28%, FC Orenburg 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Krylia Sovetov €935K, FC Orenburg €971K.
- Home advantage makes Krylia Sovetov the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Krylia Sovetov goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Krylia Sovetov 1677 · FC Orenburg 1697
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Krylia Sovetov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1798
FC Orenburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1787
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Krylia Sovetov
11th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 11
- 17 OctLFakel Russia Premier League1700
- 10 OctDSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1702
- 16 SepDLokomotiv Russia Premier League1680
- 11 SepWRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1692
- 5 SepDFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1691
FC Orenburg
6th in Premier Liga · 16 pts from 12
- 23 OctWAkhmat Russia Premier League1682
- 19 OctDRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1678
- 10 OctWDinamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League1653
- 17 SepDFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1599
- 12 SepLDynamo Russia Premier League1623
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 12 /11 | 32.7 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 12th |
| FC Orenburg | 16 /12 | 37.2 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Krylia Sovetov: balanced profile (how Sergey Bulatov plays) · FC Orenburg: balanced profile (how Ildar Akhmetzyanov plays)