Eliteserien · Regular Season - 26
Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansund
Kristiansund BK host Valerenga on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kristiansund BK 34%, draw 29%, Valerenga 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kristiansund BK €502K, Valerenga €468K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Eliteserien): Kristiansund BK rank #4 of 19, Valerenga #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kristiansund BK goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Kristiansund BK 1534 · Valerenga 1567
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kristiansund BK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1447
Valerenga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1548
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kristiansund BK
15th in Eliteserien · 19 pts from 23
- 17 OctLAalesund Eliteserien1545
- 10 OctLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1538
- 19 SepLRosenborg Eliteserien1549
- 13 SepLViking Eliteserien1553
- 6 SepWTromso Eliteserien1503
Valerenga
11th in Eliteserien · 26 pts from 23
- 18 OctWBrann Eliteserien1529
- 12 OctLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1545
- 20 SepDFredrikstad Eliteserien1552
- 12 SepLLillestrom Eliteserien1565
- 6 SepDSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1571
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK | 19 /23 | 27.8 | 0% | 0% | 84% | 15th |
| Valerenga | 26 /23 | 33.3 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kristiansund BK: direct (how A. Skiri plays) · Valerenga: balanced profile (how Johannes Moesgaard plays)