Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24
Kristiansund BK 1–4 Aalesund
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansand
Kristiansund BKTeam 1522AalesundTeam 1523- David Tufekcic 27'
- Marcus Reed 36', 65'
- Paul Ngongo 76'
- Mathias Christensen 88'
We gave Kristiansund BK 37% to win: Aalesund won.
- 17'Marcus Reed –Aalesund:Marcus Reed –
- David Tufekcic – assist Wilfred George Igor –27'Kristiansund BK:David Tufekcic – assist Wilfred George Igor –
- 36'Marcus Reed – assist Mathias Christensen –Aalesund:Marcus Reed – assist Mathias Christensen –
- 61'Endre Osenbroch – for Sander Erik Kartum –Aalesund:Endre Osenbroch – for Sander Erik Kartum –
- 65'Marcus Reed –Aalesund:Marcus Reed –
- Gustav Ørsøe Christensen – for Sander Svendsen –66'Kristiansund BK:Gustav Ørsøe Christensen – for Sander Svendsen –
- 67'Jakob Nyland Örsahl – for Uba Charles Nwokoma –Aalesund:Jakob Nyland Örsahl – for Uba Charles Nwokoma –
- 67'Paul Ngongo – for Marcus Reed –Aalesund:Paul Ngongo – for Marcus Reed –
- David Tufekcic –69'Kristiansund BK:David Tufekcic –
- 76'Paul Ngongo – assist Mathias Christensen –Aalesund:Paul Ngongo – assist Mathias Christensen –
- 79'Endre Osenbroch –Aalesund:Endre Osenbroch –
- John Kitolano – for Zymer Bytyqi –80'Kristiansund BK:John Kitolano – for Zymer Bytyqi –
- 80'Stefano Vecchia – for Isak Gabriel Skotheim –Aalesund:Stefano Vecchia – for Isak Gabriel Skotheim –
- Adrian Kurd Rønning – for Julius Mar Juliusson –80'Kristiansund BK:Adrian Kurd Rønning – for Julius Mar Juliusson –
- Max Normann Williamsen – for Wilfred George Igor –80'Kristiansund BK:Max Normann Williamsen – for Wilfred George Igor –
- 88'Mathias Christensen – assist Stefano Vecchia –Aalesund:Mathias Christensen – assist Stefano Vecchia –
- John Kitolano –90+2'Kristiansund BK:John Kitolano –
Before kick-off (provisional): 37% · 29% · 34%(Kristiansund BK · draw · Aalesund)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–4 had 1%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kristiansund BK €453K, Aalesund €408K.
- Home advantage made Kristiansund BK the favourite: it added 2 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kristiansund BK
15th in Eliteserien · 19 pts from 22
- 10 OctLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1538
- 19 SepLRosenborg Eliteserien1549
- 13 SepLViking Eliteserien1553
- 6 SepWTromso Eliteserien1503
- 30 AugDHam-Kam Eliteserien1475
Aalesund
14th in Eliteserien · 21 pts from 22
- 11 OctLSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1542
- 19 SepWMolde Eliteserien1514
- 13 SepLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1527
- 4 SepWStart Eliteserien1504
- 30 AugLViking Eliteserien1505
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK | 19 /22 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 66% | 15th |
| Aalesund | 21 /22 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 65% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kristiansund BK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1457
Aalesund · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1531
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kristiansund BK: direct (how Amund Robertsen Skiri plays) · Aalesund: balanced profile (how Kjetil André Rekdal plays)