1. Division · Regular Season - 5
Krasava Ypsonas 1–3 Apollon Limassol
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Krasava YpsonasTeam 1429Apollon LimassolTeam 1751- Luiyi de Lucas 42'
- Gustavo Assunção 38'
- Bruno Gaspar 80'
- Garry Rodrigues 90+4'
We gave Apollon Limassol 61% to win: they did.
- 33'Emanuel Aiwu –Apollon Limassol:Emanuel Aiwu –
- 38'Gustavo Assunção –Apollon Limassol:Gustavo Assunção –
- Luiyi de Lucas –42'Krasava Ypsonas:Luiyi de Lucas –
- 46'Alen Ožbolt – for Brandon Thomas –Apollon Limassol:Alen Ožbolt – for Brandon Thomas –
- 46'Bruno Gaspar – for Emanuel Aiwu –Apollon Limassol:Bruno Gaspar – for Emanuel Aiwu –
- Kevin Luckassen –46'Krasava Ypsonas:Kevin Luckassen –
- Marco Camús – for Yassine Bahassa –57'Krasava Ypsonas:Marco Camús – for Yassine Bahassa –
- Evgen Budnik – for Kevin Luckassen –57'Krasava Ypsonas:Evgen Budnik – for Kevin Luckassen –
- 63'Gustavo Assunção –Apollon Limassol:Gustavo Assunção –
- Michalis Panagidis – for Vasilios Papafotis –68'Krasava Ypsonas:Michalis Panagidis – for Vasilios Papafotis –
- 72'Ivan Ljubić – for Morgan Brown –Apollon Limassol:Ivan Ljubić – for Morgan Brown –
- 72'Dani Escriche – for Gaetan Weissbeck –Apollon Limassol:Dani Escriche – for Gaetan Weissbeck –
- Luiyi de Lucas –73'Krasava Ypsonas:Luiyi de Lucas –
- 80'Bruno Gaspar –Apollon Limassol:Bruno Gaspar –
- Tabekou Ouambé88'Krasava Ypsonas:Tabekou Ouambé
- Bismark Boateng –90+3'Krasava Ypsonas:Bismark Boateng –
- 90+4'Garry Rodrigues –Apollon Limassol:Garry Rodrigues –
Before kick-off (provisional): 16% · 23% · 61%(Krasava Ypsonas · draw · Apollon Limassol)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 1–3 had 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Krasava Ypsonas €191K, Apollon Limassol €763K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 1. Division matchday 5: 322 points.
- All 11 of Apollon Limassol's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Krasava Ypsonas
14th in 1. Division · 0 pts from 4
- 20 SepLOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1428
- 5 SepLOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1422
- 17 MayDEnosis Cypriot First Division1370
- 8 MayLAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1458
- 2 MayDAEL Cypriot First Division1393
Apollon Limassol
5th in 1. Division · 6 pts from 4
- 19 SepDApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1754
- 12 SepDOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1730
- 5 SepWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1668
- 29 AugDAris Cypriot First Division1711
- 11 AugLBrann UEFA Conference League1794
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasava Ypsonas | 0 /4 | 21.9 | 0% | 0% | 66% | 14th |
| Apollon Limassol | 6 /4 | 46.8 | 9% | 71% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Krasava Ypsonas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 (Poor) · Elo 1558
Apollon Limassol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1787
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct