Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 12
Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Kortrijk host Union St. Gilloise on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kortrijk 12%, draw 19%, Union St. Gilloise 69%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kortrijk €786K, Union St. Gilloise €5.3M.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Pro League average of 25% this round.
- Pro League: A. Zorgane is the highest-rated midfielder (2321).
- Style contrast in attacking (Pro League): Kortrijk rank #17 of 18, Union St. Gilloise #2.
- Union St. Gilloise's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kortrijk goals first.
- 0–212%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 1–19%
- 0–39%
- 1–37%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 5.0 pts
Team Elo: Kortrijk 1665 · Union St. Gilloise 2129
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kortrijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1575
Union St. Gilloise · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.8 (Elite) · Elo 2108
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kortrijk
18th in Pro League · 4 pts from 11
- 8 NovLGent Belgium Pro League1644
- 4 NovLKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1639
- 31 OctDStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1649
- 10 OctLGenk Belgium Pro League1646
- 20 SepWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1624
Union St. Gilloise
1st in Pro League · 29 pts from 11
- 8 NovWGenk Belgium Pro League2188
- 5 NovWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League2088
- 31 OctWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League2043
- 25 OctWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1999
- 22 OctWHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Europa League1986
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk | 4 /11 | 27.8 | 0% | 0% | 82% | 18th |
| Union St. Gilloise | 29 /11 | 76.2 | 32% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kortrijk: direct (how Daniel Beichler plays) · Union St. Gilloise: high-pressing (how David Hubert plays)