Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Kortrijk host KV Mechelen on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kortrijk 38%, draw 29%, KV Mechelen 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kortrijk €970K, KV Mechelen €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes Kortrijk the favourite here: it adds 5 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Pro League): Kortrijk rank #3 of 18, KV Mechelen #16.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kortrijk goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Kortrijk 1688 · KV Mechelen 1711
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kortrijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1756
KV Mechelen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1760
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kortrijk
17th in Pro League · 3 pts from 8
- 10 OctLGenk Belgium Pro League1653
- 20 SepWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1629
- 13 SepLRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1646
- 6 SepLZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1649
- 3 SepLAnderlecht Belgium Pro League1640
KV Mechelen
14th in Pro League · 6 pts from 8
- 11 OctWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1710
- 19 SepDLommel United Belgium Pro League1712
- 11 SepLAnderlecht Belgium Pro League1721
- 5 SepLKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1732
- 29 AugDRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1733
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk | 3 /8 | 31.2 | 0% | 0% | 57% | 18th |
| KV Mechelen | 6 /8 | 34.7 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kortrijk: direct (how Daniel Beichler plays) · KV Mechelen: balanced profile (how Frederic Vanderbiest plays)