Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Exbud Arena, Kielce
Korona Kielce host Radomiak Radom on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Korona Kielce 54%, draw 26%, Radomiak Radom 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Korona Kielce €863K, Radomiak Radom €472K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Korona Kielce goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Korona Kielce 1722 · Radomiak Radom 1598
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Korona Kielce · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1769
Radomiak Radom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1613
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Korona Kielce
9th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 11
- 18 OctLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1755
- 11 OctLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1769
- 19 SepWRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1747
- 15 SepLGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1763
- 12 SepWSlask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa1744
Radomiak Radom
16th in Ekstraklasa · 8 pts from 11
- 19 OctLWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1585
- 12 OctLMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1589
- 20 SepLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1570
- 14 SepLPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1586
- 5 SepDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1586
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 15 /11 | 46.5 | 0% | 7% | 4% | 8th |
| Radomiak Radom | 8 /11 | 32.0 | 0% | 0% | 75% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Korona Kielce: direct (how Jacek Zieliński plays) · Radomiak Radom: direct (how Rafał Grzyb plays)