Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:45 UTC · Exbud Arena, Kielce
Korona Kielce host GKS Katowice on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Korona Kielce 44%, draw 28%, GKS Katowice 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Korona Kielce €864K, GKS Katowice €577K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Ekstraklasa): Korona Kielce rank #4 of 19, GKS Katowice #16.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Korona Kielce goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Korona Kielce 1709 · GKS Katowice 1702
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Korona Kielce · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1769
GKS Katowice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1770
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Korona Kielce
9th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 11
- 18 OctLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1755
- 11 OctLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1769
- 19 SepWRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1747
- 15 SepLGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1763
- 12 SepWSlask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa1744
GKS Katowice
5th in Ekstraklasa · 18 pts from 11
- 17 OctLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1723
- 12 OctWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1713
- 9 OctWRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1688
- 19 SepWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1658
- 12 SepLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1701
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 15 /11 | 45.8 | 0% | 6% | 5% | 8th |
| GKS Katowice | 18 /11 | 47.3 | <1% | 10% | 2% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Korona Kielce: direct (how Jacek Zieliński plays) · GKS Katowice: balanced profile (how Rafał Górak plays)