1. SNL · Regular Season - 15
Koper vs Mura
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Bonifika, Koper
Koper host Mura on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (1. SNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Koper 55%, draw 25%, Mura 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Koper €383K, Mura €227K.
- J. Iličić, L. Rimac, F. Hartherz, A. Ruedl, B. Ndiaye, V. Mijailović and F. Tomek (Koper) have not played for over 90 days.
- K. Trdin, Unknown (559743) and A. Zalaznik (Mura) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Koper goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Koper 1570 · Mura 1404
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Koper from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Koper · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1596
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Koper
2nd in 1. SNL · 22 pts from 12
- 30 JulLNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1532
- 23 JulWNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1529
- 3 MayWMura Slovenia 1 SNL1585
- 15 MarLCelje Slovenia 1 SNL1590
- 8 MarWAluminij Slovenia 1 SNL1563
Mura
9th in 1. SNL · 11 pts from 12
- 29 AugLBravo Slovenia 1 SNL1464
- 25 JulWOlimpija Ljubljana Slovenia 1 SNL1289
- 3 MayLKoper Slovenia 1 SNL1399
- 14 MarLMaribor Slovenia 1 SNL1395
- 7 MarWPrimorje Slovenia 1 SNL1376
Season outlook
From the 1. SNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koper | 22 /12 | 56.2 | 23% | 94% | 1% | 3rd |
| Mura | 11 /12 | 35.6 | 0% | 2% | 73% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 9th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –