1. SNL · Regular Season - 13
Koper vs Maribor
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Bonifika, Koper
Koper host Maribor on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (1. SNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Koper 41%, draw 29%, Maribor 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Koper €398K, Maribor €503K.
- Home advantage makes Koper the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- J. Iličić, B. Ndiaye and V. Mijailović (Koper) have not played for over 90 days.
- A. Jug, T. Cipot, D. Pejičić, L. Krajnc, Č. Bumbić, B. M'bondo and D. Vizinger (Maribor) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Koper goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Koper 1570 · Maribor 1575
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Koper from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026); Maribor from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Koper · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1600
Maribor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1668
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Koper
2nd in 1. SNL · 22 pts from 12
- 30 JulLNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1532
- 23 JulWNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1529
- 3 MayWMura Slovenia 1 SNL1585
- 15 MarLCelje Slovenia 1 SNL1590
- 8 MarWAluminij Slovenia 1 SNL1563
Maribor
1st in 1. SNL · 24 pts from 12
- 3 MayLRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1588
- 20 MarDAluminij Slovenia 1 SNL1630
- 14 MarWMura Slovenia 1 SNL1612
- 8 MarDOlimpija Ljubljana Slovenia 1 SNL1602
- 28 FebDRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1595
Season outlook
From the 1. SNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koper | 22 /12 | 56.3 | 23% | 94% | <1% | 3rd |
| Maribor | 24 /12 | 59.3 | 43% | 98% | <1% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 9th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –