1. SNL · Regular Season - 16
Koper vs Aluminij
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Bonifika, Koper
Koper host Aluminij on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (1. SNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Koper 57%, draw 24%, Aluminij 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Koper €239K, Aluminij €295K.
- L. Baš, Alvaro Roncal, B. Negouai, G. Agyemang, J. Iličić, B. Diawara, K. Manseri, D. Pejičić, I. Matondo, B. Irabor and F. Bačkulja (Koper) have not played for over 90 days.
- F. Raduha, V. Težak, A. Bekavac, T. Jagić, M. Vrbanec, B. Osuji, P. Petriško and Robert Ramsak (Aluminij) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Koper goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 1–09%
- 3–16%
- 3–06%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Koper 1551 · Aluminij 1359
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aluminij · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1579
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Koper
1st in 1. SNL · 29 pts from 15
- 30 JulLNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1504
- 23 JulWNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1517
- 3 MayWMura Slovenia 1 SNL1577
- 15 MarLCelje Slovenia 1 SNL1568
- 8 MarWAluminij Slovenia 1 SNL1543
Aluminij
7th in 1. SNL · 17 pts from 15
- 30 JulLDinamo Tirana UEFA Conference League1415
- 23 JulDDinamo Tirana UEFA Conference League1400
- 16 JulLSheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League1366
- 9 JulDSheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League1366
- 3 AprLRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1402
Season outlook
From the 1. SNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koper | 29 /15 | 58.1 | 28% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
| Aluminij | 17 /15 | 37.9 | <1% | 4% | 54% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 9th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –