Süper Lig · Regular Season - 10
Kocaelispor vs Rizespor
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
Kocaelispor host Rizespor on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kocaelispor 40%, draw 29%, Rizespor 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kocaelispor €1.4M, Rizespor €2.0M.
- Home advantage makes Kocaelispor the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Süper Lig): Kocaelispor rank #4 of 18, Rizespor #16.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kocaelispor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Kocaelispor 1840 · Rizespor 1877
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kocaelispor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2106
Rizespor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1908
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kocaelispor
8th in Süper Lig · 12 pts from 8
- 18 OctLGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1831
- 11 OctLBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1797
- 19 SepWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1806
- 13 SepLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1848
- 6 SepWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1829
Rizespor
12th in Süper Lig · 10 pts from 8
- 16 OctLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1876
- 10 OctLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1921
- 20 SepDGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1920
- 12 SepWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1895
- 7 SepLAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1911
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | 12 /8 | 42.9 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 9th |
| Rizespor | 10 /8 | 42.3 | 0% | 1% | 9% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kocaelispor: balanced profile (how Selçuk İnan plays) · Rizespor: balanced profile (how Recep Uçar plays)