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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 8

Kocaelispor 1–2 Göztepe

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Turka Araç Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli

Kocaelispor crestKocaelisporTeam 1799
1–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Göztepe crestGöztepeTeam 1818

Match story

Kocaelispor · draw · Göztepe

Before kick-off: 42% · 29% · 30%

Live chances: Kocaelispor 0%, draw 3%, Göztepe 97% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 42%, draw 29%, Göztepe 30%3' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 41%, draw 29%, Göztepe 30%5' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 41%, draw 29%, Göztepe 30%7' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 41%, draw 29%, Göztepe 30%8' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 41%, draw 29%, Göztepe 30%9' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 41%, draw 29%, Göztepe 30%10' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 41%, draw 30%, Göztepe 30%11' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 41%, draw 30%, Göztepe 30%12' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 41%, draw 30%, Göztepe 30%13' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 40%, draw 30%, Göztepe 30%14' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 40%, draw 30%, Göztepe 29%15' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 40%, draw 30%, Göztepe 29%16' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 40%, draw 30%, Göztepe 29%17' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 40%, draw 31%, Göztepe 29%18' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 40%, draw 31%, Göztepe 29%19' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 40%, draw 31%, Göztepe 29%20' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 40%, draw 31%, Göztepe 29%21' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 40%, draw 31%, Göztepe 29%22' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 39%, draw 31%, Göztepe 29%23' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 39%, draw 32%, Göztepe 29%24' · 0–0 · Kocaelispor 39%, draw 32%, Göztepe 29%25' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 21%, draw 27%, Göztepe 52%26' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 21%, draw 27%, Göztepe 52%27' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 21%, draw 27%, Göztepe 52%28' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 21%, draw 27%, Göztepe 53%29' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 20%, draw 27%, Göztepe 53%30' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 20%, draw 27%, Göztepe 53%31' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 20%, draw 27%, Göztepe 53%32' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 20%, draw 27%, Göztepe 53%33' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 19%, draw 27%, Göztepe 54%34' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 19%, draw 27%, Göztepe 54%35' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 19%, draw 27%, Göztepe 54%36' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 19%, draw 27%, Göztepe 54%37' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 18%, draw 27%, Göztepe 55%38' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 18%, draw 27%, Göztepe 55%39' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 18%, draw 27%, Göztepe 55%40' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 18%, draw 27%, Göztepe 55%41' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 17%, draw 27%, Göztepe 56%42' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 17%, draw 27%, Göztepe 56%43' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 17%, draw 27%, Göztepe 56%44' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 16%, draw 27%, Göztepe 56%45' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 16%, draw 27%, Göztepe 57%45+1' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 16%, draw 27%, Göztepe 57%HT · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 15%, draw 27%, Göztepe 58%46' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 15%, draw 27%, Göztepe 58%47' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 15%, draw 27%, Göztepe 58%48' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 15%, draw 27%, Göztepe 58%49' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 14%, draw 27%, Göztepe 59%50' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 14%, draw 27%, Göztepe 59%51' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 13%, draw 27%, Göztepe 59%52' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 13%, draw 27%, Göztepe 60%53' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 13%, draw 27%, Göztepe 60%54' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 12%, draw 27%, Göztepe 61%55' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 12%, draw 27%, Göztepe 61%56' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 12%, draw 27%, Göztepe 62%57' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 11%, draw 27%, Göztepe 62%58' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 11%, draw 27%, Göztepe 63%59' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 10%, draw 26%, Göztepe 63%60' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 10%, draw 26%, Göztepe 64%61' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 10%, draw 26%, Göztepe 64%62' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 9%, draw 26%, Göztepe 65%63' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 9%, draw 26%, Göztepe 65%64' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 9%, draw 26%, Göztepe 66%65' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 8%, draw 25%, Göztepe 66%66' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 8%, draw 25%, Göztepe 67%67' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 8%, draw 25%, Göztepe 67%68' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 7%, draw 25%, Göztepe 68%69' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 7%, draw 24%, Göztepe 69%70' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 7%, draw 24%, Göztepe 69%71' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 6%, draw 24%, Göztepe 70%72' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 6%, draw 23%, Göztepe 71%73' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 6%, draw 23%, Göztepe 71%74' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 5%, draw 23%, Göztepe 72%75' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 5%, draw 22%, Göztepe 73%76' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 5%, draw 22%, Göztepe 73%77' · 0–1 · Kocaelispor 4%, draw 21%, Göztepe 74%78' · 0–2 · Kocaelispor 0%, draw 3%, Göztepe 97%79' · 0–2 · Kocaelispor 0%, draw 3%, Göztepe 97%80' · 0–2 · Kocaelispor 0%, draw 2%, Göztepe 97%81' · 0–2 · Kocaelispor 0%, draw 2%, Göztepe 98%82' · 0–2 · Kocaelispor 0%, draw 2%, Göztepe 98%83' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 2%, draw 18%, Göztepe 80%84' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 2%, draw 17%, Göztepe 81%85' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 2%, draw 16%, Göztepe 82%86' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 2%, draw 15%, Göztepe 83%87' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 1%, draw 14%, Göztepe 84%88' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 1%, draw 13%, Göztepe 86%89' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 1%, draw 12%, Göztepe 87%90' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 1%, draw 11%, Göztepe 88%90+1' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 1%, draw 10%, Göztepe 90%90+2' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 0%, draw 8%, Göztepe 92%90+3' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 0%, draw 6%, Göztepe 93%90+4' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 0%, draw 5%, Göztepe 95%90+5' · 1–2 · Kocaelispor 0%, draw 3%, Göztepe 97%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 3% · 97%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Kocaelispor 42% to win: Göztepe won.

  1. 24'Göztepe:Show 2001 −10 (own goal)
  2. 46'Kocaelispor:F. Aye 1834 −2 for M. Altunbas 1822 0
  3. 46'Kocaelispor:R. Rivas 1798 −1 for U. Yildiz 1669 0
  4. 56'Kocaelispor:M. Susoho 1657 0
  5. 57'Kocaelispor:T. Gulliksen 1751 0 for M. Cinan 1686 −1
  6. 74'Kocaelispor:M. Baku 1899 −1 for D. Agyei 1912 −1
  7. 76'Göztepe:Andre Henrique 1713 +22
  8. 77'Göztepe:N. Miroshi 1938 +32 assist Juan 1906 +12
  9. 78'Göztepe:N. Miroshi 1938 +32
  10. 82'Kocaelispor:B. Kutlu 2106 −28 (pen.)
  11. 83'Göztepe:S. Armstrong 1822 +2 for Andre Henrique 1713 +22
  12. 83'Göztepe:Janderson 1859 +1 for Juan 1906 +12
  13. 85'Kocaelispor:M. Maglica 1899 −8* for M. Susoho 1657 0
  14. 88'Göztepe:E. Bekiroglu 1758 0 for A. Antunes 1855 +44
  15. 90+2'Göztepe:F. Anjorin 1601 +2 for Rhaldney 1908 +12
  16. 90+2'Göztepe:E. Yildirim 1334 −5* for N. Miroshi 1938 +32
  17. 90+3'Kocaelispor:E. Ortakaya 1848 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations3-4-1-2
GArda Özçimen1845+50
DTaha Altıkardeş1962+29
DNoah Sonko Sundberg1778+19
DMalcom Bokele1975+26
MArda Kurtulan1963+10
MRhaldney1908+12
MNovatus Miroshi1938+32
MRichard Akonnor1812+19
FAlexis Antunes1855+44
FAndré Henrique1713+22
FJuan Santos da Silva1906+12
CStanimir Kolev Stoilov1900
Before kick-off: 42% · 29% · 30%(Kocaelispor · draw · Göztepe)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Kocaelispor €1.4M, Göztepe €1.7M.
  • Kocaelispor were without 2 expected starters: A. Dijksteel (1975) and M. Haïdara (1945).
  • Style contrast in discipline (Süper Lig): Kocaelispor ranked #4 of 18, Göztepe #18.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Kocaelispor

7th in Süper Lig · 12 pts from 7

  • 11 OctLBeşiktaş 1797
  • 19 SepWGaziantep FK 1806
  • 13 SepLGalatasaray 1848
  • 6 SepWSamsunspor 1829
  • 29 AugWKonyaspor 1807

Göztepe

15th in Süper Lig · 6 pts from 7

  • 12 OctWEyüpspor 1851
  • 20 SepDRizespor 1770
  • 12 SepDAlanyaspor 1760
  • 7 SepLGaziantep FK 1823
  • 29 AugLGalatasaray 1816

Season outlook

From the Süper Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Kocaelispor12 /745.30%2%4%7th
Göztepe6 /736.20%<1%32%16th
Kocaelispor
Göztepe

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Süper Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

B. Kutlu
B. Kutlu

Kocaelispor · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2135

A. Kurtulan
A. Kurtulan

Göztepe · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1953

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Selçuk İnan

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Stanimir Kolev Stoilov

Coach DNA: direct · shot-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Kocaelispor: balanced profile (how Selçuk İnan plays) · Göztepe: direct · high-pressing (how Stanimir Kolev Stoilov plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.