NB I · Regular Season - 10
Kisvarda FC 1–1 Ferencvarosi TC
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Várkert Sportpálya, Kisvarda
Kisvarda FCTeam 1465
Ferencvarosi TCTeam 1881Match story
Kisvarda FC · draw · Ferencvarosi TCBefore kick-off: 12% · 20% · 68%
Last reading, 90+3': 4% · 88% · 8%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Bogdan Melnyk 32'
- Callum O'Dowda 75'
We gave Ferencvarosi TC 68% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Soma Novothny 1493 −6* (penalty missed)4'
Kisvarda FC:Soma Novothny 1493 −6* (penalty missed) - Bogdan Melnyk 1566 +1932'
Kisvarda FC:Bogdan Melnyk 1566 +19 - Jasmin Mešanović 1455 −1 for Soma Novothny 1493 −6*45'
Kisvarda FC:Jasmin Mešanović 1455 −1 for Soma Novothny 1493 −6* - Teslim Abdulateef Balogun 1356 +8 for Christián Herc 1610 +245'
Kisvarda FC:Teslim Abdulateef Balogun 1356 +8 for Christián Herc 1610 +2 - 45'Bamidele Isa Yusuf 2016 −2 for Krisztian Lisztes 1734 0
Ferencvarosi TC:Bamidele Isa Yusuf 2016 −2 for Krisztian Lisztes 1734 0 - Kevin Körmendi 1294 −1* for Miroszláv Babják 1310 +1257'
Kisvarda FC:Kevin Körmendi 1294 −1* for Miroszláv Babják 1310 +12 - Bogdan Melnyk 1566 +1966'
Kisvarda FC:Bogdan Melnyk 1566 +19 - 67'Veljko Birmančević 1973 −2 for Jonathan Levi 1748 −3
Ferencvarosi TC:Veljko Birmančević 1973 −2 for Jonathan Levi 1748 −3 - 75'Callum O'Dowda 1896 −5 assist Daniel Arzani 1881 −1
Ferencvarosi TC:Callum O'Dowda 1896 −5 assist Daniel Arzani 1881 −1 - 83'Carlos Eduardo Lopes Cruz 2034 −2 for Daniel Arzani 1881 −1
Ferencvarosi TC:Carlos Eduardo Lopes Cruz 2034 −2 for Daniel Arzani 1881 −1 - Jasmin Mešanović 1455 −185'
Kisvarda FC:Jasmin Mešanović 1455 −1 - 88'Ádám Nagy 1852 −3 for Habib Maïga 1864 −3
Ferencvarosi TC:Ádám Nagy 1852 −3 for Habib Maïga 1864 −3 - Hianga'a M'Bock 1537 0 for Kevin Körmendi 1294 −1*89'
Kisvarda FC:Hianga'a M'Bock 1537 0 for Kevin Körmendi 1294 −1*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 12% · 20% · 68%(Kisvarda FC · draw · Ferencvarosi TC)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 1–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Kisvarda FC €288K, Ferencvarosi TC €1.3M.
- Draw chance was 19%, below the NB I average of 25% this round.
- NB I: D. Dibusz was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1990).
- Style contrast in chance creation (NB I): Kisvarda FC ranked #10 of 10, Ferencvarosi TC #1.
- Ferencvarosi TC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kisvarda FC
8th in NB I · 10 pts from 9
- 10 OctDVasas NB I1509
- 19 SepLPaks NB I1528
- 5 SepWMTK Budapest NB I1509
- 30 AugDGyori ETO FC NB I1517
- 23 AugDDebreceni VSC NB I1519
Ferencvarosi TC
6th in NB I · 13 pts from 8
- 15 OctWPlzen UEFA Europa League1932
- 10 OctDDebreceni VSC NB I1920
- 20 SepDNyiregyhaza NB I1906
- 17 SepWCeltic UEFA Europa League1855
- 6 SepDUjpest NB I1910
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kisvarda FC | 10 /9 | 36.2 | 0% | 2% | 47% | 10th |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 13 /8 | 68.4 | 84% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Kisvarda FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1534

Ferencvarosi TC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2052
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kisvarda FC: balanced profile (how Attila Supka plays) · Ferencvarosi TC: possession-based (how Balazs Borbely plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.