Premiership · Regular Season - 12
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock host ST Johnstone on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kilmarnock 41%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kilmarnock €398K, ST Johnstone €419K.
- Home advantage makes Kilmarnock the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kilmarnock goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Kilmarnock 1623 · ST Johnstone 1652
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kilmarnock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1668
ST Johnstone · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1736
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kilmarnock
11th in Premiership · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1618
- 10 OctLRangers Scotland Premiership1627
- 19 SepDHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1618
- 15 SepWHibernian Scotland Premiership1609
- 5 SepDAberdeen Scotland Premiership1574
ST Johnstone
5th in Premiership · 12 pts from 9
- 17 OctDDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1647
- 11 OctWAberdeen Scotland Premiership1597
- 19 SepDFalkirk Scotland Premiership1664
- 9 SepLCeltic Scotland Premiership1645
- 6 SepWHibernian Scotland Premiership1569
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 8 /9 | 35.0 | 0% | 3% | 57% | 12th |
| ST Johnstone | 12 /9 | 40.0 | 0% | 12% | 24% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kilmarnock: direct (how Neill McCann plays) · ST Johnstone: low-volume (how Simo Johannes Valakari plays)