Super League 1 · Regular Season - 6
Kifisia 2–0 Panetolikos
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens
KifisiaTeam 1678PanetolikosTeam 1696- Jorge Pombo 20'
- Leroy Abanda Mfomo 90+6'
We gave Kifisia 37% to win: they did.
- Jorge Pombo – assist Ángelo Sagal –20'Kifisia:Jorge Pombo – assist Ángelo Sagal –
- 24'Amine Bassi –Panetolikos:Amine Bassi –
- Ángelo Sagal –35'Kifisia:Ángelo Sagal –
- Jeremy Antonisse – for Bernardo Martins –45'Kifisia:Jeremy Antonisse – for Bernardo Martins –
- 47'Salifou Soumah –Panetolikos:Salifou Soumah –
- Leroy Abanda Mfomo –49'Kifisia:Leroy Abanda Mfomo –
- 57'Adriano bregou – for Amine Bassi –Panetolikos:Adriano bregou – for Amine Bassi –
- 57'Moussa Djenepo – for Salifou Soumah –Panetolikos:Moussa Djenepo – for Salifou Soumah –
- Gerson Liliano Saches Sousa – for Ángelo Sagal –65'Kifisia:Gerson Liliano Saches Sousa – for Ángelo Sagal –
- Apóstolos Christópoulos – for dimitrios theodoridis –65'Kifisia:Apóstolos Christópoulos – for dimitrios theodoridis –
- 71'Kosta Aleksic – for Marvelous Nakamba –Panetolikos:Kosta Aleksic – for Marvelous Nakamba –
- 72'Konstantinos Thymianis –Panetolikos:Konstantinos Thymianis –
- 74'Yevhenii Kucherenko –Panetolikos:Yevhenii Kucherenko –
- Apóstolos Christópoulos –81'Kifisia:Apóstolos Christópoulos –
- Georgios Kyriopoulos – for Jorge Pombo –81'Kifisia:Georgios Kyriopoulos – for Jorge Pombo –
- 85'Mateo Mejia – for Charis Mavrias –Panetolikos:Mateo Mejia – for Charis Mavrias –
- 85'Lampros Smyrlis – for Youssouph BadjiPanetolikos:Lampros Smyrlis – for Youssouph Badji
- Clément Jolibois –89'Kifisia:Clément Jolibois –
- Hugo Sousa – for Seedy Jagne –90+2'Kifisia:Hugo Sousa – for Seedy Jagne –
- Leroy Abanda Mfomo –90+6'Kifisia:Leroy Abanda Mfomo –
Before kick-off (provisional): 37% · 29% · 34%(Kifisia · draw · Panetolikos)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kifisia €591K, Panetolikos €790K.
- Home advantage made Kifisia the favourite: it added 3 points to their win chance; Super League 1 has one of the three smallest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kifisia
9th in Super League 1 · 5 pts from 5
- 19 SepWAtromitos Greece Super League1646
- 13 SepDLevadiakos Greece Super League1634
- 10 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1631
- 6 SepLOFI Greece Super League1627
- 30 AugDAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1617
Panetolikos
6th in Super League 1 · 9 pts from 5
- 20 SepLPAOK Greece Super League1650
- 13 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1713
- 6 SepWLevadiakos Greece Super League1687
- 29 AugWKalamata Greece Super League1690
- 23 AugWAsteras Tripolis Greece Super League1661
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kifisia | 5 /5 | 28.7 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 9th |
| Panetolikos | 9 /5 | 32.7 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kifisia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1798
Panetolikos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1781
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kifisia: direct (how Sebastián Eduardo Leto plays) · Panetolikos: balanced profile (how Yannis Anastasiou plays)