Super League 1 · Regular Season - 7
Kifisia 1–2 Aris Thessalonikis
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens
KifisiaTeam 1658
Aris ThessalonikisTeam 1842Match story
Kifisia · draw · Aris ThessalonikisBefore kick-off: 25% · 29% · 46%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Ángelo Sagal 53'
- Bruma 32' (pen)
- Benjamin Garré 89'
We gave Aris Thessalonikis 46% to win: they did.
- Jeremy Antonisse 1806 −519'
Kifisia:Jeremy Antonisse 1806 −5 - S. Leto31'
Kifisia:S. Leto - 32'Bruma 1961 +18 (pen.)
Aris Thessalonikis:Bruma 1961 +18 (pen.) - Ángelo Sagal 1613 −5 assist Jorge Pombo 1807 −1953'
Kifisia:Ángelo Sagal 1613 −5 assist Jorge Pombo 1807 −19 - 64'Boško Šutalo 1788 +21
Aris Thessalonikis:Boško Šutalo 1788 +21 - 72'Othman Boussaid 1796 +4 for Bruma 1961 +18
Aris Thessalonikis:Othman Boussaid 1796 +4 for Bruma 1961 +18 - 72'Rafa Mir 1994 0 for Tino Kadewere 1780 +15
Aris Thessalonikis:Rafa Mir 1994 0 for Tino Kadewere 1780 +15 - Apóstolos Christópoulos 1467 0 for dimitrios theodoridis 1731 073'
Kifisia:Apóstolos Christópoulos 1467 0 for dimitrios theodoridis 1731 0 - Georgios Kyriopoulos 1508 0 for Ángelo Sagal 1613 −573'
Kifisia:Georgios Kyriopoulos 1508 0 for Ángelo Sagal 1613 −5 - Roshon van Eijma 1768 −476'
Kifisia:Roshon van Eijma 1768 −4 - 79'Benjamin Garré 1924 +38
Aris Thessalonikis:Benjamin Garré 1924 +38 - 83'Fabiano Leismann 1851 +10
Aris Thessalonikis:Fabiano Leismann 1851 +10 - Gerson Liliano Saches Sousa 1611 0 for Jeremy Antonisse 1806 −584'
Kifisia:Gerson Liliano Saches Sousa 1611 0 for Jeremy Antonisse 1806 −5 - Bernardo Martins 1798 −2 for Jorge Pombo 1807 −1984'
Kifisia:Bernardo Martins 1798 −2 for Jorge Pombo 1807 −19 - 89'Benjamin Garré 1924 +38
Aris Thessalonikis:Benjamin Garré 1924 +38 - Jordi Mboula 1678 −8* for Seedy Jagne 1567 090'
Kifisia:Jordi Mboula 1678 −8* for Seedy Jagne 1567 0 - 90+3'Noah Fadiga 1856 0 for Benjamin Garré 1924 +38
Aris Thessalonikis:Noah Fadiga 1856 0 for Benjamin Garré 1924 +38 - 90+3'Fredrik Jensen 1897 −1 for Christian Kouamé 1987 +9
Aris Thessalonikis:Fredrik Jensen 1897 −1 for Christian Kouamé 1987 +9
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 25% · 29% · 46%(Kifisia · draw · Aris Thessalonikis)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Kifisia €657K, Aris Thessalonikis €1.6M.
- All 11 of Aris Thessalonikis' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kifisia
9th in Super League 1 · 8 pts from 6
- 11 OctWPanetolikos Greece Super League1665
- 19 SepWAtromitos Greece Super League1646
- 13 SepDLevadiakos Greece Super League1634
- 10 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1631
- 6 SepLOFI Greece Super League1627
Aris Thessalonikis
5th in Super League 1 · 10 pts from 6
- 11 OctWVolos NFC Greece Super League1839
- 19 SepDIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1795
- 13 SepLPAOK Greece Super League1821
- 5 SepLAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1827
- 30 AugWOFI Greece Super League1824
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kifisia | 8 /6 | 31.0 | 0% | 1% | 10% | 7th |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 10 /6 | 39.6 | <1% | 16% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Kifisia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1826

Aris Thessalonikis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1952
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kifisia: direct (how Sebastián Eduardo Leto plays) · Aris Thessalonikis: balanced profile (how Michalis Grigoriou plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.