Persian Gulf Pro League · Regular Season - 13
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal FC
Thu 19 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Takhti Stadium, Khorramabad
Kheybar Khorramabad host Esteghlal FC on Thu 19 Nov 2026 (Persian Gulf Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kheybar Khorramabad 13%, draw 21%, Esteghlal FC 66%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kheybar Khorramabad €100K, Esteghlal FC €456K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Persian Gulf Pro League matchday 13: 383 points.
- Draw chance 21%, below the Persian Gulf Pro League average of 27% this round.
- M. Dinarvand, E. Ghahremani, I. Moradi, M. Mohebi, H. Hajiaghaei, E. Babaei, S. Danaye Baghaki and Ali Mostafa Khanzadi (Kheybar Khorramabad) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kheybar Khorramabad goals first.
- 0–120%
- 0–216%
- 0–010%
- 1–29%
- 1–19%
- 0–38%
- Other scores28%
Team Elo: Kheybar Khorramabad 1209 · Esteghlal FC 1592
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Esteghlal FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1800
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kheybar Khorramabad
10th in Persian Gulf Pro League · 14 pts from 12
- 15 MayDMes Rafsanjan Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1298
- 8 MayLPersepolis FC Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1327
- 1 MayDEsteghlal Khuzestan Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1315
- 17 AprWNassaji Mazandaran Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1279
- 11 AprLMalavan Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1330
Esteghlal FC
5th in Persian Gulf Pro League · 21 pts from 11
- 3 NovWAl Shamal AFC Champions League1613
- 27 OctLShabab Al Ahli Dubai AFC Champions League1617
- 12 OctWAl-Gharafa AFC Champions League1586
- 22 FebWMes Rafsanjan Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1606
- 17 FebLAl Hussein AFC Cup1443
Season outlook
From the Persian Gulf Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kheybar Khorramabad | 14 /12 | 19.3 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 10th |
| Esteghlal FC | 21 /11 | 33.9 | 18% | 92% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –