Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23
KFUM Oslo 2–1 Valerenga
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · KFUM Arena, Oslo
KFUM OsloTeam 1498
ValerengaTeam 1549Match story
KFUM Oslo · draw · ValerengaBefore kick-off: 33% · 29% · 38%
Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Bilal Njie 31'
- Bjorn Martin Kristensen 55' (pen)
- Aaron Kiil Olsen 26'
We gave Valerenga 38% to win: KFUM Oslo won.
- 26'Aaron Kiil Olsen 1396 −8* assist Ghayas Zahid 1507 −14*
Valerenga:Aaron Kiil Olsen 1396 −8* assist Ghayas Zahid 1507 −14* - Bilal Njie 1612 +32* assist Jonas Lange Hjorth 1616 +39*31'
KFUM Oslo:Bilal Njie 1612 +32* assist Jonas Lange Hjorth 1616 +39* - 53'Magnus Westergaard 1582 −14*
Valerenga:Magnus Westergaard 1582 −14* - Bjorn Martin Kristensen 1488 +16* (pen.)55'
KFUM Oslo:Bjorn Martin Kristensen 1488 +16* (pen.) - 59'Ghayas Zahid 1507 −14*
Valerenga:Ghayas Zahid 1507 −14* - 61'Fidel Brice Ambina 1601 −11* for Magnus Westergaard 1582 −14*
Valerenga:Fidel Brice Ambina 1601 −11* for Magnus Westergaard 1582 −14* - 61'Mathias Grundetjern 1555 −9* for Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren 1460 −9*
Valerenga:Mathias Grundetjern 1555 −9* for Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren 1460 −9* - 72'Odin Thiago Holm 1570 −9* for Ghayas Zahid 1507 −14*
Valerenga:Odin Thiago Holm 1570 −9* for Ghayas Zahid 1507 −14* - Rasmus Eggen Vinge 1496 +6* for Bilal Njie 1612 +32*73'
KFUM Oslo:Rasmus Eggen Vinge 1496 +6* for Bilal Njie 1612 +32* - Magnus Grødem 1567 −5* for Bjorn Martin Kristensen 1488 +16*74'
KFUM Oslo:Magnus Grødem 1567 −5* for Bjorn Martin Kristensen 1488 +16* - David Hickson Gyedu 1542 −7* for Ola Visted 1386 +30*83'
KFUM Oslo:David Hickson Gyedu 1542 −7* for Ola Visted 1386 +30* - 83'Ivan Nasberg 1598 −10* for Aaron Kiil Olsen 1396 −8*
Valerenga:Ivan Nasberg 1598 −10* for Aaron Kiil Olsen 1396 −8* - Amin Nouri 1029 −11* for Jonas Lange Hjorth 1616 +39*83'
KFUM Oslo:Amin Nouri 1029 −11* for Jonas Lange Hjorth 1616 +39* - 83'Gabriel Rajkovic 1385 −8* for Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter –
Valerenga:Gabriel Rajkovic 1385 −8* for Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter – - Robin Rasch 1496 −12* for Amin Nouri 1029 −11*89'
KFUM Oslo:Robin Rasch 1496 −12* for Amin Nouri 1029 −11*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 33% · 29% · 38%(KFUM Oslo · draw · Valerenga)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: KFUM Oslo €387K, Valerenga €458K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Eliteserien): KFUM Oslo ranked #17 of 19, Valerenga #4.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KFUM Oslo
11th in Eliteserien · 25 pts from 21
- 18 SepWSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1485
- 13 SepWAalesund Eliteserien1474
- 6 SepLMolde Eliteserien1460
- 30 AugLStart Eliteserien1445
- 15 AugDLillestrom Eliteserien1441
Valerenga
13th in Eliteserien · 23 pts from 21
- 20 SepDFredrikstad Eliteserien1552
- 12 SepLLillestrom Eliteserien1565
- 6 SepDSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1571
- 30 AugLMolde Eliteserien1585
- 16 AugDAalesund Eliteserien1561
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KFUM Oslo | 25 /21 | 33.9 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 11th |
| Valerenga | 23 /21 | 32.5 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

KFUM Oslo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1542

Valerenga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1469
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KFUM Oslo: balanced profile (how Jørgen Isnes plays) · Valerenga: balanced profile (how Johannes Moesgaard plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.