Indian Super League · Regular Season - 3
Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Kochi
Kerala Blasters host Mumbai City on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Indian Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kerala Blasters 42%, draw 29%, Mumbai City 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kerala Blasters €197K, Mumbai City €173K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Indian Super League): Kerala Blasters rank #10 of 10, Mumbai City #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kerala Blasters goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Kerala Blasters 1454 · Mumbai City 1440
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kerala Blasters · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1513
Mumbai City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1270
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kerala Blasters
6th in Indian Super League · 3 pts from 2
- 18 OctLNorthEast United India ISL1489
- 11 OctWInter Kashi India ISL1451
- 18 MayWGoa India ISL1405
- 10 MayWMohammedan India ISL1400
- 23 AprWOdisha India ISL1360
Mumbai City
12th in Indian Super League · 0 pts from 1
- 11 OctLChurchill Brothers India ISL1433
- 21 MayWMinerva Punjab India ISL1500
- 15 MayWMohammedan India ISL1489
- 5 MayLEast Bengal II India ISL1513
- 25 AprDBengaluru India ISL1513
Season outlook
From the Indian Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerala Blasters | 3 /2 | 17.7 | 6% | 33% | 9% | 6th |
| Mumbai City | 0 /1 | 15.9 | 3% | 23% | 18% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 13th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kerala Blasters: balanced profile (how David Català Jiménez plays) · Mumbai City: possession-based (how Manolo Marquez plays)