1. Lig · Regular Season - 14
Keçiörengücü vs Manisa F.K.
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Aktepe Stadium, Ankara
Keçiörengücü host Manisa F.K. on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Keçiörengücü 51%, draw 26%, Manisa F.K. 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Keçiörengücü €238K, Manisa F.K. €335K.
- Keçiörengücü are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Keçiörengücü goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Keçiörengücü 1633 · Manisa F.K. 1534
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Keçiörengücü · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1648
Manisa F.K. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1600
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Keçiörengücü
4th in 1. Lig · 20 pts from 11
- 19 OctWFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1622
- 14 OctDIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1644
- 9 OctWBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1608
- 19 SepDSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1617
- 12 SepDVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1606
Manisa F.K.
16th in 1. Lig · 10 pts from 11
- 19 OctLMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1534
- 15 OctDEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1552
- 10 OctLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1613
- 20 SepLİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1631
- 13 SepDFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1634
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keçiörengücü | 20 /11 | 55.9 | <1% | 16% | <1% | 7th |
| Manisa F.K. | 10 /11 | 40.3 | 0% | 0% | 34% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-block · low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Keçiörengücü: balanced profile (how O. Korkmaz plays) · Manisa F.K.: balanced profile (how Ahmet Pektas plays)