1. Lig · Regular Season - 12
Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Aktepe Stadium, Ankara
Keçiörengücü host Bursaspor on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Keçiörengücü 30%, draw 29%, Bursaspor 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Keçiörengücü €257K, Bursaspor €989K.
- 1. Lig: K. Ịheanachọ is the highest-rated forward (1983).
- Keçiörengücü are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Keçiörengücü goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Keçiörengücü 1614 · Bursaspor 1793
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Keçiörengücü · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1604
Bursaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1983
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Keçiörengücü
7th in 1. Lig · 17 pts from 10
- 14 OctDIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1644
- 9 OctWBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1608
- 19 SepDSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1617
- 12 SepDVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1606
- 5 SepWSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1576
Bursaspor
3rd in 1. Lig · 22 pts from 10
- 15 OctWMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1777
- 11 OctLMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1770
- 19 SepWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1759
- 13 SepDEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1767
- 7 SepWManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1741
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keçiörengücü | 17 /10 | 52.7 | 0% | 7% | 1% | 9th |
| Bursaspor | 22 /10 | 71.4 | 26% | 91% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –