1. Lig · Regular Season - 15
Kayserispor vs Sarıyer
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu, Kayseri
Kayserispor host Sarıyer on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kayserispor 61%, draw 23%, Sarıyer 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kayserispor €686K, Sarıyer €204K.
- All 11 of Sarıyer's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kayserispor goals first.
- 1–011%
- 2–011%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 3–07%
- 0–07%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Kayserispor 1815 · Sarıyer 1600
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kayserispor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1911
Sarıyer · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1551
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kayserispor
2nd in 1. Lig · 30 pts from 14
- 8 NovLÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1834
- 2 NovWMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1847
- 25 OctDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1848
- 18 OctDBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1830
- 14 OctWAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1750
Sarıyer
13th in 1. Lig · 17 pts from 14
- 6 NovDIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1556
- 31 OctLVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1588
- 24 OctLFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1632
- 17 OctDSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1617
- 13 OctLBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1587
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor | 30 /14 | 73.1 | 34% | 95% | 0% | 2nd |
| Sarıyer | 17 /14 | 46.3 | 0% | 1% | 9% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kayserispor: balanced profile (how Atila Gerin plays) · Sarıyer: balanced profile (how Bülent Bölükbaşı plays)