1. Lig · Regular Season - 13
Kayserispor vs Muğlaspor
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu, Kayseri
Kayserispor host Muğlaspor on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kayserispor 67%, draw 20%, Muğlaspor 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kayserispor €784K, Muğlaspor €309K.
- Draw chance 20%, below the 1. Lig average of 27% this round.
- 1. Lig: C. Şen is the highest-rated defender (2020).
- Kayserispor are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kayserispor goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Kayserispor 1837 · Muğlaspor 1554
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kayserispor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1929
Muğlaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1530
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kayserispor
1st in 1. Lig · 26 pts from 11
- 18 OctDBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1842
- 14 OctWAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1764
- 10 OctWManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1857
- 20 SepWMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1854
- 14 SepWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1797
Muğlaspor
13th in 1. Lig · 12 pts from 10
- 15 OctLBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1557
- 11 OctDFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1579
- 18 SepDIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1589
- 13 SepDSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1553
- 6 SepDVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1551
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor | 26 /11 | 76.7 | 65% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
| Muğlaspor | 12 /10 | 44.6 | 0% | 1% | 16% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile