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1. Lig · Regular Season - 9

Kayserispor 3–2 Manisa F.K.

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadium, Kayseri

Kayserispor crestKayserisporTeam 1828
3–2
Full time
HT 1–0
Manisa F.K. crestManisa F.K.Team 1552

Match story

Kayserispor · draw · Manisa F.K.

Before kick-off: 65% · 22% · 13%

Live chances: Kayserispor 100%, draw 0%, Manisa F.K. 0% at 90+10'1' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 65%, draw 22%, Manisa F.K. 13%2' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 65%, draw 22%, Manisa F.K. 13%3' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 65%, draw 22%, Manisa F.K. 13%4' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 64%, draw 22%, Manisa F.K. 13%5' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 64%, draw 22%, Manisa F.K. 13%6' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 64%, draw 23%, Manisa F.K. 13%7' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 64%, draw 23%, Manisa F.K. 14%8' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 64%, draw 23%, Manisa F.K. 14%9' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 63%, draw 23%, Manisa F.K. 14%10' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 63%, draw 23%, Manisa F.K. 14%11' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 63%, draw 23%, Manisa F.K. 14%12' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 63%, draw 24%, Manisa F.K. 14%13' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 62%, draw 24%, Manisa F.K. 14%14' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 62%, draw 24%, Manisa F.K. 14%15' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 62%, draw 24%, Manisa F.K. 14%16' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 61%, draw 25%, Manisa F.K. 14%17' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 61%, draw 25%, Manisa F.K. 14%18' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 61%, draw 25%, Manisa F.K. 14%19' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 61%, draw 25%, Manisa F.K. 14%20' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 60%, draw 25%, Manisa F.K. 14%21' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 60%, draw 26%, Manisa F.K. 14%22' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 60%, draw 26%, Manisa F.K. 14%23' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 59%, draw 26%, Manisa F.K. 14%24' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 59%, draw 26%, Manisa F.K. 14%25' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 59%, draw 27%, Manisa F.K. 15%26' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 58%, draw 27%, Manisa F.K. 15%27' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 58%, draw 27%, Manisa F.K. 15%28' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 58%, draw 27%, Manisa F.K. 15%29' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 58%, draw 28%, Manisa F.K. 15%30' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 57%, draw 28%, Manisa F.K. 15%31' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 57%, draw 28%, Manisa F.K. 15%32' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 57%, draw 29%, Manisa F.K. 15%33' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 56%, draw 29%, Manisa F.K. 15%34' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 56%, draw 29%, Manisa F.K. 15%35' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 55%, draw 30%, Manisa F.K. 15%36' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 55%, draw 30%, Manisa F.K. 15%37' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 55%, draw 30%, Manisa F.K. 15%38' · 0–0 · Kayserispor 54%, draw 31%, Manisa F.K. 15%39' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%40' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%41' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%42' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%43' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%44' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%45' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%45+1' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%HT · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%46' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%47' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%48' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%49' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%50' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%51' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%52' · 1–0 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%53' · 2–0 · Kayserispor 98%, draw 2%, Manisa F.K. 0%54' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%55' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 3%56' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 84%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%57' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 85%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%58' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 85%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%59' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 85%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%60' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 85%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%61' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 85%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%62' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 85%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%63' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 85%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%64' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 85%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%65' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 85%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%66' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 86%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%67' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 86%, draw 13%, Manisa F.K. 2%68' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 86%, draw 12%, Manisa F.K. 2%69' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 86%, draw 12%, Manisa F.K. 2%70' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 86%, draw 12%, Manisa F.K. 2%71' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 86%, draw 12%, Manisa F.K. 1%72' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 87%, draw 12%, Manisa F.K. 1%73' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 87%, draw 12%, Manisa F.K. 1%74' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 87%, draw 12%, Manisa F.K. 1%75' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 87%, draw 11%, Manisa F.K. 1%76' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 88%, draw 11%, Manisa F.K. 1%77' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 88%, draw 11%, Manisa F.K. 1%78' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 88%, draw 11%, Manisa F.K. 1%79' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 89%, draw 10%, Manisa F.K. 1%81' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 89%, draw 10%, Manisa F.K. 1%82' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 90%, draw 9%, Manisa F.K. 1%83' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 90%, draw 9%, Manisa F.K. 1%84' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 91%, draw 9%, Manisa F.K. 1%85' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 91%, draw 8%, Manisa F.K. 0%86' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 92%, draw 8%, Manisa F.K. 0%87' · 2–1 · Kayserispor 92%, draw 7%, Manisa F.K. 0%88' · 2–2 · Kayserispor 15%, draw 78%, Manisa F.K. 7%89' · 2–2 · Kayserispor 13%, draw 80%, Manisa F.K. 6%90+1' · 2–2 · Kayserispor 10%, draw 85%, Manisa F.K. 5%90+1' · 2–2 · Kayserispor 14%, draw 83%, Manisa F.K. 3%90+2' · 2–2 · Kayserispor 12%, draw 86%, Manisa F.K. 3%90+3' · 3–2 · Kayserispor 98%, draw 2%, Manisa F.K. 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Kayserispor 98%, draw 2%, Manisa F.K. 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Kayserispor 99%, draw 1%, Manisa F.K. 0%90+6' · 3–2 · Kayserispor 100%, draw 0%, Manisa F.K. 0%90+7' · 3–2 · Kayserispor 100%, draw 0%, Manisa F.K. 0%90+8' · 3–2 · Kayserispor 100%, draw 0%, Manisa F.K. 0%90+9' · 3–2 · Kayserispor 100%, draw 0%, Manisa F.K. 0%90+10' · 3–2 · Kayserispor 100%, draw 0%, Manisa F.K. 0%

Last reading, 90+10': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Kayserispor 65% to win: they did.

  1. 24'Manisa F.K.:Yasin Güreler 1573 −16*
  2. 38'Kayserispor:Benhur Keser 1833 +12*
  3. 45'Manisa F.K.:Osman Kaynak 1140 −8* for Yasin Güreler 1573 −16*
  4. 52'Kayserispor:Daniel Moreno 1897 +12* assist Taulant Seferi 1997 +4*
  5. 54'Manisa F.K.:Atakan Rıdvan Çankaya 1646 −23*
  6. 54'Kayserispor:Denis Radu 1672 −2* for Cenk Sen 2020 −5*
  7. 60'Kayserispor:Semih Güler 1896 −3*
  8. 60'Manisa F.K.:Cheikne Sylla 1627 −12*
  9. 63'Manisa F.K.:Alenis Vargas 1689 −2 for Birama Toure 1582 −16*
  10. 71'Kayserispor:Florent Hasani 1834 −7* for Manadi Camara 1855 0*
  11. 71'Kayserispor:Ensar Kemaloglu 1654 −5* for Benhur Keser 1833 +12*
  12. 79'Manisa F.K.:Osman Kahraman 1272 −8* for Yusuf Talum 1650 −12*
  13. 82'Kayserispor:Murat Cem Akpinar 1640 −5* for Görkem Sağlam 1801 +19*
  14. 82'Kayserispor:Oğulcan Çağlayan 1644 −8* for Taulant Seferi 1997 +4*
  15. 86'Manisa F.K.:Noha Lemina 1469 −8* for Yassine Benrahou 1596 −11*
  16. 87'Manisa F.K.:Cheikne Sylla 1627 −12* assist Atakan Rıdvan Çankaya 1646 −23*
  17. 89'Kayserispor:Gökhan Değirmenci 1831 −3*
  18. 90'Manisa F.K.:Cheikne Sylla 1627 −12*
  19. 90+1'Manisa F.K.:Vedat Karakuş 1639 −12*
  20. 90+3'Kayserispor:Murat Cem Akpinar 1640 −5* assist Denis Radu 1672 −2*
  21. 90+5'Kayserispor:Sinan Kurt 1927 −4*
  22. 90+7'Manisa F.K.:Christophe Herelle 1610 −17*
  23. 90+9'Manisa F.K.:Julien Anziani 1599 −11*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-1-4-1
GG. Değirmenci1831−3*
DM. Uçar1899+8*
DS. Güler1896−3*
DJ. Tabidze1783+2*
DC. Şen2020−5*
MB. Keser1833+12*
MMamadi Camará18550*
MS. Kurt1927−4*
MT. Seferi1997+4*
FD. Moreno1897+12*
FG. Sağlam1801+19*
CA. Gerin1338+43*
GV. Karakuş1639−12*
DK. Yurdakul1548−8*
DC. Hérelle1610−17*
DAda Ibik1552−8*
DY. Güreler1573−16*
MB. Touré1582−16*
MY. Benrahou1596−11*
MA. Çankaya1646−23*
MJ. Anziani1599−11*
MY. Talum1650−12*
FC. Sylla1627−12*
CAhmet Pektaş1554−9*
Before kick-off: 65% · 22% · 13%(Kayserispor · draw · Manisa F.K.)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Kayserispor €846K, Manisa F.K. €344K.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of 1. Lig matchday 9: 207 points.
  • 1. Lig: C. Şen was the highest-rated defender (2025).
  • Style contrast in dribbling (1. Lig): Kayserispor ranked #19 of 20, Manisa F.K. #4.
  • Kayserispor were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Kayserispor

1st in 1. Lig · 19 pts from 8

  • 20 SepWMardin 1969 1854
  • 14 SepWİstanbulspor 1797
  • 7 SepWEsenler Erokspor 1768
  • 2 SepDFatih Karagümrük 1779
  • 16 AugWSivasspor 1766

Manisa F.K.

14th in 1. Lig · 9 pts from 8

  • 20 SepLİstanbulspor 1631
  • 13 SepDFatih Karagümrük 1634
  • 7 SepLBursaspor 1643
  • 3 SepLIğdır FK 1517
  • 30 AugDBodrum FK 1655

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Kayserispor19 /871.847%93%0%1st
Manisa F.K.9 /845.70%1%17%16th
Kayserispor
Manisa F.K.

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Moreno
D. Moreno

Kayserispor · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1886

C. Hérelle
C. Hérelle

Manisa F.K. · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1627

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Atila Gerin

Coach DNA: –

Ahmet Pektas

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Kayserispor: balanced profile (how Atila Gerin plays) · Manisa F.K.: balanced profile (how Ahmet Pektas plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.