A Lyga · Regular Season - 34
Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC
Kauno Žalgiris host FK Zalgiris Vilnius on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (A Lyga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kauno Žalgiris 43%, draw 28%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kauno Žalgiris €336K, FK Zalgiris Vilnius €288K.
- All 11 of Kauno Žalgiris' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- K. Upstas, G. Turda, S. Mamatsashvili, L. Antal and O. Verbickas (FK Zalgiris Vilnius) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kauno Žalgiris goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Kauno Žalgiris 1547 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1528
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kauno Žalgiris · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 (Poor) · Elo 1611
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kauno Žalgiris
1st in A Lyga · 51 pts from 28
- 15 OctLBrighton UEFA Conference League1566
- 27 AugWBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League1519
- 20 AugLBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League1518
- 11 AugLDinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League1515
- 4 AugLDinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League1527
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2nd in A Lyga · 50 pts from 30
- 13 AugLHNK Hajduk Split UEFA Conference League1541
- 6 AugLHNK Hajduk Split UEFA Conference League1568
- 30 JulWDinamo Tbilisi UEFA Conference League1537
- 23 JulLDinamo Tbilisi UEFA Conference League1545
- 16 JulWPetrovac UEFA Conference League1513
Season outlook
From the A Lyga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris | 51 /28 | 57.4 | 78% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 50 /30 | 52.8 | 5% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –