Premier League · Regular Season - 30
Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Zhestar Stadium, Aktau
Kaspiy host Kyzyl-Zhar on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kaspiy 36%, draw 29%, Kyzyl-Zhar 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kaspiy €209K, Kyzyl-Zhar €199K.
- Home advantage makes Kaspiy the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kaspiy goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Kaspiy 1364 · Kyzyl-Zhar 1431
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kyzyl-Zhar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1527
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kaspiy
9th in Premier League · 33 pts from 28
- 18 OctDFC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League1359
- 18 SepWZhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League1349
- 12 SepLAktobe Kazakhstan Premier League1333
- 5 SepLKairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League1288
- 30 AugWFK Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League1350
Kyzyl-Zhar
11th in Premier League · 28 pts from 28
- 17 OctLOkzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League1441
- 18 SepDKaisar Kazakhstan Premier League1443
- 12 SepLZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1459
- 5 SepLAtyrau Kazakhstan Premier League1437
- 29 AugLOrdabasy Kazakhstan Premier League1474
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaspiy | 33 /28 | 35.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
| Kyzyl-Zhar | 28 /28 | 31.0 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –