Süper Lig · Regular Season - 10
Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Kasımpaşa host Beşiktaş on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kasımpaşa 18%, draw 24%, Beşiktaş 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kasımpaşa €1.5M, Beşiktaş €9.3M.
- Süper Lig: L. Trossard is the highest-rated midfielder (2490).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kasımpaşa goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–37%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Kasımpaşa 1845 · Beşiktaş 2226
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kasımpaşa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2027
Beşiktaş · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2490
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kasımpaşa
7th in Süper Lig · 13 pts from 8
- 18 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1835
- 9 OctLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1847
- 18 SepDKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1792
- 13 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1765
- 6 SepDAmed Turkey Super Lig1825
Beşiktaş
4th in Süper Lig · 15 pts from 7
- 15 OctW1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League2200
- 11 OctWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig2242
- 20 SepLAmed Turkey Super Lig2223
- 17 SepWMarseille UEFA Europa League2177
- 11 SepWErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig2216
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 13 /8 | 44.7 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 8th |
| Beşiktaş | 15 /7 | 70.1 | 29% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kasımpaşa: balanced profile (how Emre Belözoğlu plays) · Beşiktaş: possession-based (how Vincenzo Italiano plays)