Süper Lig · Regular Season - 12
Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Kasımpaşa host Alanyaspor on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kasımpaşa 51%, draw 26%, Alanyaspor 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kasımpaşa €1.3M, Alanyaspor €1.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kasımpaşa goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 0–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Kasımpaşa 1880 · Alanyaspor 1780
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kasımpaşa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1972
Alanyaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1823
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kasımpaşa
5th in Süper Lig · 20 pts from 11
- 6 NovWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1880
- 1 NovDBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1879
- 24 OctWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1852
- 18 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1828
- 9 OctLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1839
Alanyaspor
13th in Süper Lig · 12 pts from 11
- 8 NovLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1787
- 2 NovLGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1821
- 23 OctLKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1844
- 17 OctLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1832
- 10 OctDErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1852
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 20 /11 | 49.3 | 0% | 3% | <1% | 7th |
| Alanyaspor | 12 /11 | 35.7 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kasımpaşa: balanced profile (how Emre Belözoğlu plays) · Alanyaspor: possession-based (how Joao Pereira plays)