Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Ukraina Stadium, Lviv
Karpaty host Zorya Luhansk on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Karpaty 45%, draw 28%, Zorya Luhansk 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Karpaty €507K, Zorya Luhansk €390K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Karpaty goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–09%
- 0–18%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Karpaty 1595 · Zorya Luhansk 1545
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Karpaty · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1643
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Karpaty
5th in Premier League · 19 pts from 11
- 2 NovWKudrivka Ukraine Premier League1617
- 25 OctDChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1540
- 18 OctDEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Ukraine Premier League1558
- 11 OctLDynamo Kyiv Ukraine Premier League1576
- 20 SepDVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League1547
Zorya Luhansk
7th in Premier League · 18 pts from 12
- 8 NovLLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1542
- 2 NovWEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Ukraine Premier League1532
- 24 OctDShakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Premier League1529
- 17 OctWChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1504
- 12 OctWLivyi Bereh Ukraine Premier League1472
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty | 19 /11 | 44.8 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 5th |
| Zorya Luhansk | 18 /12 | 42.3 | 0% | 3% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Karpaty: balanced profile (how Fran Fernández plays) · Zorya Luhansk: balanced profile (how Viktor Skrypnyk plays)