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Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Karpaty 2–2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Ukraina Stadium, Lviv

Karpaty crestKarpatyTeam 1538
2–2
Full time
HT 1–2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi crestEpitsentr DunayivtsiTeam 1440

Match story

Karpaty · draw · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Before kick-off: 49% · 28% · 23%

Live chances: Karpaty 3%, draw 95%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Karpaty 49%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%3' · 0–0 · Karpaty 49%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%4' · 0–0 · Karpaty 49%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%5' · 0–0 · Karpaty 49%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%6' · 0–0 · Karpaty 48%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%7' · 0–0 · Karpaty 48%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%8' · 0–0 · Karpaty 48%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%9' · 0–0 · Karpaty 48%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%10' · 0–0 · Karpaty 48%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%11' · 0–0 · Karpaty 48%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%12' · 0–0 · Karpaty 48%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%13' · 0–0 · Karpaty 47%, draw 30%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%14' · 0–0 · Karpaty 47%, draw 30%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%15' · 0–0 · Karpaty 47%, draw 30%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%16' · 0–1 · Karpaty 29%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 43%17' · 0–1 · Karpaty 28%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 43%18' · 0–1 · Karpaty 28%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 43%19' · 0–1 · Karpaty 28%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 44%20' · 0–1 · Karpaty 28%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 44%21' · 0–1 · Karpaty 27%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 44%22' · 0–1 · Karpaty 27%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 44%23' · 0–1 · Karpaty 27%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 45%24' · 0–1 · Karpaty 26%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 45%25' · 0–1 · Karpaty 26%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 45%26' · 0–1 · Karpaty 26%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 45%27' · 0–1 · Karpaty 26%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 46%28' · 0–1 · Karpaty 25%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 46%29' · 0–1 · Karpaty 25%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 46%30' · 0–1 · Karpaty 25%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 46%31' · 0–1 · Karpaty 24%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 47%32' · 0–1 · Karpaty 24%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 47%33' · 0–1 · Karpaty 24%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 47%34' · 0–1 · Karpaty 23%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 47%35' · 0–1 · Karpaty 23%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 48%36' · 1–1 · Karpaty 43%, draw 34%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%37' · 1–1 · Karpaty 43%, draw 34%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%38' · 1–1 · Karpaty 42%, draw 35%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%39' · 1–1 · Karpaty 42%, draw 35%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23%40' · 1–2 · Karpaty 21%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 49%41' · 1–2 · Karpaty 21%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 50%42' · 1–2 · Karpaty 21%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 50%43' · 1–2 · Karpaty 20%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 50%44' · 1–2 · Karpaty 20%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 51%45' · 1–2 · Karpaty 20%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 51%45+1' · 2–2 · Karpaty 40%, draw 37%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 22%45+2' · 2–2 · Karpaty 40%, draw 37%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 22%45+3' · 2–2 · Karpaty 40%, draw 38%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 22%45+4' · 2–2 · Karpaty 40%, draw 38%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 22%45+6' · 2–2 · Karpaty 40%, draw 38%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 22%45+7' · 2–2 · Karpaty 40%, draw 38%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 22%45+8' · 2–2 · Karpaty 40%, draw 38%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 22%45+9' · 2–2 · Karpaty 40%, draw 38%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 22%45+10' · 1–2 · Karpaty 18%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 52%HT · 1–2 · Karpaty 18%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 52%46' · 1–2 · Karpaty 18%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 52%47' · 1–2 · Karpaty 18%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 53%48' · 1–2 · Karpaty 17%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 53%49' · 1–2 · Karpaty 17%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 54%50' · 1–2 · Karpaty 17%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 54%51' · 1–2 · Karpaty 16%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 55%52' · 1–2 · Karpaty 16%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 55%53' · 1–2 · Karpaty 15%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 56%54' · 1–2 · Karpaty 15%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 56%55' · 1–2 · Karpaty 14%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 57%56' · 1–2 · Karpaty 14%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 57%57' · 1–2 · Karpaty 13%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 58%58' · 1–2 · Karpaty 13%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 58%59' · 2–2 · Karpaty 34%, draw 45%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 21%60' · 2–2 · Karpaty 34%, draw 46%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 20%61' · 1–2 · Karpaty 12%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 60%62' · 1–2 · Karpaty 11%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 61%63' · 1–2 · Karpaty 11%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 61%64' · 1–2 · Karpaty 10%, draw 28%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 62%65' · 1–2 · Karpaty 10%, draw 27%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 63%66' · 1–2 · Karpaty 9%, draw 27%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 63%67' · 1–2 · Karpaty 9%, draw 27%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 64%68' · 1–2 · Karpaty 9%, draw 27%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 65%69' · 1–2 · Karpaty 8%, draw 26%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 65%70' · 1–2 · Karpaty 8%, draw 26%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 66%71' · 1–2 · Karpaty 7%, draw 26%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 67%72' · 1–2 · Karpaty 7%, draw 25%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 68%73' · 1–2 · Karpaty 7%, draw 25%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 68%74' · 1–2 · Karpaty 6%, draw 25%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 69%75' · 1–2 · Karpaty 6%, draw 24%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 70%76' · 1–2 · Karpaty 5%, draw 24%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 71%77' · 1–2 · Karpaty 5%, draw 23%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 72%78' · 1–2 · Karpaty 5%, draw 22%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 73%79' · 1–2 · Karpaty 4%, draw 22%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 74%80' · 1–2 · Karpaty 4%, draw 21%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 75%81' · 1–2 · Karpaty 4%, draw 20%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 76%82' · 1–2 · Karpaty 3%, draw 20%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 77%83' · 1–2 · Karpaty 3%, draw 19%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 78%84' · 1–2 · Karpaty 3%, draw 18%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 79%85' · 1–2 · Karpaty 2%, draw 17%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 81%86' · 1–2 · Karpaty 2%, draw 16%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 82%87' · 1–2 · Karpaty 2%, draw 15%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 83%88' · 1–2 · Karpaty 1%, draw 14%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 84%89' · 1–2 · Karpaty 1%, draw 13%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 86%90' · 1–2 · Karpaty 1%, draw 12%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 88%90+1' · 1–2 · Karpaty 1%, draw 10%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 89%90+2' · 1–2 · Karpaty 0%, draw 9%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 91%90+3' · 1–2 · Karpaty 0%, draw 7%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 93%90+4' · 2–2 · Karpaty 5%, draw 92%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 3%90+5' · 2–2 · Karpaty 3%, draw 95%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2%

Last reading, 90+5': 3% · 95% · 2%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Karpaty 49% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 15'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Artem Kozak 1695 +5 assist Mykola Myronyuk 1553 +6
  2. 35'Karpaty:Rostyslav Lyakh 1673 −2 assist Joseph Séry 1252 0
  3. 37'Karpaty:Rostyslav Lyakh 1673 −2
  4. 39'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Carlos Humberto Rojas Mosquera 1536 +18 assist Vladyslav Moroz 1569 −3*
  5. 45'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Oleg Bilyk 1577 −5* for M. Fedotov 1451 +4
  6. 45'Karpaty:Bruno Iglesias 1391 −8* for Rostyslav Lyakh 1673 −2
  7. 54'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Ivan Bendera for Vadym Sydun 1496 +5
  8. 69'Karpaty:Oleksandr Diedov 1399 0 for Joseph Séry 1252 0
  9. 69'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Daniel Rueda Bodega 997 +5 for Artem Kozak 1695 +5
  10. 69'Karpaty:Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento for Mohamed Aiman Moukhliss 1618 −2
  11. 69'Karpaty:Denys Miroshnichenko 1608 −4 for Ivan Calero 1651 −5
  12. 70'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Stepan Grygorashchuk 1496 −6* for Vladyslav Moroz 1569 −3*
  13. 78'Karpaty:Yaroslav Karabin 1540 −8* for Fellipe Vieira 1433 0
  14. 83'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Andriy Lipovuz 1415 −1 for Yevgen Zaporozhets 1457 +4
  15. 84'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Serjan·Repaj 1163 +17
  16. 84'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Daniil Vashchenko 1386 +10
  17. 89'Epitsentr Dunayivtsi:Serhii Nagornyak
  18. 90+4'Karpaty:Xeber Alkain Mitxelena 1666 −10 assist Denys Miroshnichenko 1608 −4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-1-4-1
GR. Mysak1276−3
DIván Calero1651−5
DV. Baboglo1678−4
DJean Pedroso1599−2
DR. Lyakh1673−2
MMoha1618−2
MXeber Alkain1666−10
MA. Chachua1615−7
MFellipe Vieira14330
MR. Vantukh1576−2
FJ. Séry12520
CFran Fernández1618−4
GN. Fedotov1451+4
DS. Repaj1163+17
DV. Moroz1569−3*
DNil Coch1530+6
DO. Klymets1556+6
MY. Zaporozhets1457+4
MV. Sydun1496+5
MD. Vashchenko1386+10
MM. Myronyuk1553+6
MA. Kozak1695+5
FCarlos Rojas1536+18
CSergiy Nagornyak1496+14
Before kick-off: 49% · 28% · 23%(Karpaty · draw · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Karpaty €485K, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi €386K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Karpaty

5th in Premier League · 14 pts from 8

  • 11 OctLDynamo Kyiv 1584
  • 20 SepDVeres Rivne 1558
  • 5 SepLShakhtar Donetsk 1640
  • 29 AugDLivyi Bereh 1607
  • 15 AugWBukovyna 1642

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

11th in Premier League · 8 pts from 8

  • 10 OctLKolos Kovalivka 1493
  • 19 SepLLivyi Bereh 1501
  • 14 SepLDynamo Kyiv 1435
  • 29 AugWKudrivka 1447
  • 14 AugDVeres Rivne 1468

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Karpaty14 /845.90%13%<1%5th
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi8 /831.90%<1%19%11th
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

V. Baboglo
V. Baboglo

Karpaty · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1682

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Francisco Javier Fernández Díaz

Coach DNA: direct

Sergiy Nagornyak

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Karpaty: balanced profile (how Francisco Javier Fernández Díaz plays) · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: balanced profile (how Sergiy Nagornyak plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.