1. Division · Regular Season - 8
Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Karmiotissa host Olympiakos on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Karmiotissa 37%, draw 29%, Olympiakos 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Karmiotissa €237K, Olympiakos €203K.
- Home advantage makes Karmiotissa the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Karmiotissa goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Karmiotissa 1347 · Olympiakos 1353
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olympiakos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1401
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Karmiotissa
14th in 1. Division · 3 pts from 6
- 17 OctLKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1364
- 9 OctLOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1279
- 20 SepDAris Cypriot First Division1354
- 12 SepDOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1336
- 4 SepDOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1371
Olympiakos
10th in 1. Division · 4 pts from 5
- 11 OctLAris Cypriot First Division1341
- 20 SepDOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1311
- 13 SepDOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1391
- 7 SepDPafos Cypriot First Division1315
- 28 AugDNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1395
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmiotissa | 3 /6 | 19.2 | 0% | 0% | 80% | 14th |
| Olympiakos | 4 /5 | 21.0 | 0% | 0% | 68% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –