1. Division · Regular Season - 7
Karmiotissa vs Apollon Limassol
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Karmiotissa host Apollon Limassol on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Karmiotissa 13%, draw 20%, Apollon Limassol 68%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Karmiotissa €237K, Apollon Limassol €881K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 1. Division matchday 7: 404 points.
- Draw chance 20%, below the 1. Division average of 26% this round.
- All 11 of Apollon Limassol's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Apollon Limassol are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Karmiotissa goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–210%
- 1–19%
- 0–19%
- 0–38%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Karmiotissa 1347 · Apollon Limassol 1751
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Apollon Limassol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1805
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Karmiotissa
14th in 1. Division · 3 pts from 6
- 17 OctLKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1364
- 9 OctLOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1279
- 20 SepDAris Cypriot First Division1354
- 12 SepDOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1336
- 4 SepDOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1371
Apollon Limassol
3rd in 1. Division · 12 pts from 6
- 17 OctWNea Salamis Cypriot First Division1784
- 10 OctWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1763
- 19 SepDApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1754
- 12 SepDOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1730
- 5 SepWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1668
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmiotissa | 3 /6 | 19.2 | 0% | 0% | 80% | 14th |
| Apollon Limassol | 12 /6 | 49.0 | 10% | 75% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct