1. Division · Regular Season - 10
Karmiotissa vs AEL
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Karmiotissa host AEL on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Karmiotissa 20%, draw 26%, AEL 54%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Karmiotissa €154K, AEL €440K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Karmiotissa goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–210%
- 0–07%
- 1–06%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Karmiotissa 1348 · AEL 1585
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Karmiotissa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1458
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Karmiotissa
12th in 1. Division · 6 pts from 9
- 6 NovLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1326
- 30 OctWOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1250
- 17 OctLKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1315
- 9 OctLOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1250
- 20 SepDAris Cypriot First Division1348
AEL
3rd in 1. Division · 18 pts from 9
- 7 NovWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1563
- 31 OctLOmonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division1579
- 25 OctLAris Cypriot First Division1579
- 18 OctWOmonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division1563
- 11 OctWOmonia 29is Maiou Cypriot First Division1577
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmiotissa | 6 /9 | 19.8 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 14th |
| AEL | 18 /9 | 41.6 | 1% | 18% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –