2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
Karlsruher SC 4–0 SV Darmstadt 98
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
Karlsruher SCTeam 1681
SV Darmstadt 98Team 1760Match story
Karlsruher SC · draw · SV Darmstadt 98Before kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Shio Fukuda 5'
- Marvin Wanitzek 13'
- Christoph Kobald 50'
- Kevin Wiethaup 65'
We gave Karlsruher SC 37% to win: they did.
- Shio Fukuda 1599 +168 assist Marvin Wanitzek 1897 +695'
Karlsruher SC:Shio Fukuda 1599 +168 assist Marvin Wanitzek 1897 +69 - Marvin Wanitzek 1897 +69 assist Shio Fukuda 1599 +16813'
Karlsruher SC:Marvin Wanitzek 1897 +69 assist Shio Fukuda 1599 +168 - Christoph Kobald 1937 +56 assist Marvin Wanitzek 1897 +6950'
Karlsruher SC:Christoph Kobald 1937 +56 assist Marvin Wanitzek 1897 +69 - Jason Ponente-Ramirez 1529 +27 for Noel Eichinger 1727 +19*62'
Karlsruher SC:Jason Ponente-Ramirez 1529 +27 for Noel Eichinger 1727 +19* - Kevin Wiethaup 1672 +9765'
Karlsruher SC:Kevin Wiethaup 1672 +97 - Tim Civeja 1633 +34 for Kevin Wiethaup 1672 +9766'
Karlsruher SC:Tim Civeja 1633 +34 for Kevin Wiethaup 1672 +97 - Deniz Ofli 2026 +4 for Sebastian Jung 1792 +6266'
Karlsruher SC:Deniz Ofli 2026 +4 for Sebastian Jung 1792 +62 - Sandro Tremoulet 1731 +12271'
Karlsruher SC:Sandro Tremoulet 1731 +122 - 71'Milan Smit 1791 −12
SV Darmstadt 98:Milan Smit 1791 −12 - 71'Aleksandar Vukotić 1783 −14
SV Darmstadt 98:Aleksandar Vukotić 1783 −14 - 72'Ibrahim El Kadiri 1692 −8* for Marco Richter 1812 −14
SV Darmstadt 98:Ibrahim El Kadiri 1692 −8* for Marco Richter 1812 −14 - 72'Florian Kleinhansl 1732 −8* for Lee Ho-Jae 1725 −1
SV Darmstadt 98:Florian Kleinhansl 1732 −8* for Lee Ho-Jae 1725 −1 - 72'Yannik Luhrs 1664 0 for Lance Duijvestijn 1771 −8
SV Darmstadt 98:Yannik Luhrs 1664 0 for Lance Duijvestijn 1771 −8 - 72'Noah Weisshaupt 1802 −3 for Hiroki Akiyama 1767 −7
SV Darmstadt 98:Noah Weisshaupt 1802 −3 for Hiroki Akiyama 1767 −7 - paul scholl 1514 +7* for Christoph Kobald 1937 +5681'
Karlsruher SC:paul scholl 1514 +7* for Christoph Kobald 1937 +56 - Danyal Hakan Zor 1620 +5 for Santeri Väänänen 1701 +3881'
Karlsruher SC:Danyal Hakan Zor 1620 +5 for Santeri Väänänen 1701 +38
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%(Karlsruher SC · draw · SV Darmstadt 98)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–0 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Karlsruher SC €672K, SV Darmstadt 98 €1.4M.
- Home advantage made Karlsruher SC the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Karlsruher SC
18th in 2. Bundesliga · 5 pts from 7
- 11 OctLFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1754
- 19 SepL1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1759
- 13 SepLEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1753
- 4 SepDHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1742
- 29 AugLVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1751
SV Darmstadt 98
15th in 2. Bundesliga · 7 pts from 7
- 10 OctWEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1773
- 18 SepLVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1762
- 11 SepWArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1751
- 5 SepL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1778
- 30 AugLHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1745
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 5 /7 | 38.5 | 0% | 1% | 35% | 17th |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 7 /7 | 41.6 | <1% | 3% | 19% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Karlsruher SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1827

SV Darmstadt 98 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1806
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Karlsruher SC: balanced profile (how Maximilian Senft plays) · SV Darmstadt 98: balanced profile (how Florian Kohfeldt plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.