Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 28
Kalmar FF vs Sirius
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Kalmar FF host Sirius on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kalmar FF 25%, draw 28%, Sirius 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kalmar FF €384K, Sirius €1.0M.
- Sirius' expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
- Sirius are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kalmar FF goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Kalmar FF 1526 · Sirius 1747
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kalmar FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1570
Sirius · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1805
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kalmar FF
13th in Allsvenskan · 22 pts from 24
- 19 OctWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1511
- 12 OctLMalmo FF Allsvenskan1525
- 20 SepLBK Hacken Allsvenskan1578
- 13 SepLIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1581
- 7 SepLDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1543
Sirius
1st in Allsvenskan · 55 pts from 24
- 18 OctDIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1801
- 10 OctWGais Allsvenskan1739
- 19 SepWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1779
- 14 SepWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1769
- 5 SepWVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1746
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalmar FF | 22 /24 | 29.4 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 13th |
| Sirius | 55 /24 | 64.4 | 88% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kalmar FF: balanced profile (how Toni Koskela plays) · Sirius: balanced profile (how Andreas Engelmark plays)