Super League 1 · Regular Season - 7
Kalamata 4–3 OFI
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Dimotiko Stadio Paralias, Kalamata
KalamataTeam 1615
OFITeam 1751Match story
Kalamata · draw · OFIBefore kick-off: 28% · 29% · 43%
Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- David Kurminowski 14', 18', 59'
- Arnór Sigurðsson 90+4'
- Thiago Nuss 58', 84'
- Kenan Kodro 75'
We gave OFI 43% to win: Kalamata won.
- David Kurminowski 1815 +35 assist Petros Kaloutsikidis 1659 +9914'
Kalamata:David Kurminowski 1815 +35 assist Petros Kaloutsikidis 1659 +99 - Djibril Diarra 1400 +2315'
Kalamata:Djibril Diarra 1400 +23 - David Kurminowski 1815 +35 assist Petros Kaloutsikidis 1659 +9918'
Kalamata:David Kurminowski 1815 +35 assist Petros Kaloutsikidis 1659 +99 - Argyrios Liatsikouras 1763 +13 for Djibril Diarra 1400 +2337'
Kalamata:Argyrios Liatsikouras 1763 +13 for Djibril Diarra 1400 +23 - 45'Klidman Lilo 1651 −8* for Nikolaos Christogeorgos 1923 −7
OFI:Klidman Lilo 1651 −8* for Nikolaos Christogeorgos 1923 −7 - 45'Achilleas Poungouras 1858 −7 for Dimitris Nikolaou 1812 −3
OFI:Achilleas Poungouras 1858 −7 for Dimitris Nikolaou 1812 −3 - 45'Athanasios Androutsos 1907 −9 for Georgios Kanellopoulos 1712 −8*
OFI:Athanasios Androutsos 1907 −9 for Georgios Kanellopoulos 1712 −8* - 58'Thiago Nuss 1818 −18 assist Borja González 1744 −3
OFI:Thiago Nuss 1818 −18 assist Borja González 1744 −3 - David Kurminowski 1815 +35 assist Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro 1753 +3759'
Kalamata:David Kurminowski 1815 +35 assist Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro 1753 +37 - David Kurminowski 1815 +3561'
Kalamata:David Kurminowski 1815 +35 - Arnór Sigurðsson 1760 +17 for Ahmad Mendes Moreira 1618 +2163'
Kalamata:Arnór Sigurðsson 1760 +17 for Ahmad Mendes Moreira 1618 +21 - Jovanny Bolivar 1682 +1* for David Kurminowski 1815 +3563'
Kalamata:Jovanny Bolivar 1682 +1* for David Kurminowski 1815 +35 - 64'Lorenzo Dickmann 1793 −3 for Konstantinos Kostoulas 1850 −6
OFI:Lorenzo Dickmann 1793 −3 for Konstantinos Kostoulas 1850 −6 - Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro 1753 +3770'
Kalamata:Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro 1753 +37 - 75'Kenan Kodro 1757 −5 assist Thiago Nuss 1818 −18
OFI:Kenan Kodro 1757 −5 assist Thiago Nuss 1818 −18 - J. Cataldi 1383 +8 for Erik Hamza 1604 +3176'
Kalamata:J. Cataldi 1383 +8 for Erik Hamza 1604 +31 - Julián Bonetto 1407 −3* for Kenneth Vargas 1817 +1576'
Kalamata:Julián Bonetto 1407 −3* for Kenneth Vargas 1817 +15 - 78'Giannis Theodosoulakis 1440 0 for Anastasios Chatzigiovanis 1799 −5
OFI:Giannis Theodosoulakis 1440 0 for Anastasios Chatzigiovanis 1799 −5 - 84'Thiago Nuss 1818 −18 assist Lorenzo Dickmann 1793 −3
OFI:Thiago Nuss 1818 −18 assist Lorenzo Dickmann 1793 −3 - 85'Giannis Theodosoulakis 1440 0
OFI:Giannis Theodosoulakis 1440 0 - 87'Zisis Karachalios 1622 −3
OFI:Zisis Karachalios 1622 −3 - Julio Alonso 1868 +1290+2'
Kalamata:Julio Alonso 1868 +12 - Arnór Sigurðsson 1760 +17 assist Julián Bonetto 1407 −3*90+4'
Kalamata:Arnór Sigurðsson 1760 +17 assist Julián Bonetto 1407 −3*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 28% · 29% · 43%(Kalamata · draw · OFI)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–3 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Kalamata €524K, OFI €895K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kalamata
10th in Super League 1 · 7 pts from 6
- 12 OctWPAOK Greece Super League1573
- 20 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1553
- 13 SepWVolos NFC Greece Super League1561
- 6 SepDAtromitos Greece Super League1541
- 29 AugLPanetolikos Greece Super League1502
OFI
6th in Super League 1 · 10 pts from 6
- 15 OctLRennes UEFA Europa League1846
- 10 OctLAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1867
- 20 SepDAsteras Tripolis Greece Super League1812
- 17 SepW1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League1822
- 12 SepWOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Super League1788
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalamata | 7 /6 | 26.6 | 0% | <1% | 31% | 10th |
| OFI | 10 /6 | 39.0 | <1% | 15% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Kalamata · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1857

OFI · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.1 (Good) · Elo 1930
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.