Super League 1 · Regular Season - 9
Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium, Kalamata
Kalamata host Iraklis 1908 on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kalamata 38%, draw 29%, Iraklis 1908 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kalamata €589K, Iraklis 1908 €453K.
- Home advantage makes Kalamata the favourite here: it adds 3 points to their win chance; Super League 1 has one of the three smallest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kalamata goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Kalamata 1676 · Iraklis 1908 1685
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kalamata · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1869
Iraklis 1908 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1672
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kalamata
6th in Super League 1 · 10 pts from 7
- 18 OctWOFI Greece Super League1669
- 12 OctWPAOK Greece Super League1573
- 20 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1553
- 13 SepWVolos NFC Greece Super League1561
- 6 SepDAtromitos Greece Super League1541
Iraklis 1908
8th in Super League 1 · 9 pts from 7
- 18 OctLPAOK Greece Super League1714
- 11 OctWLevadiakos Greece Super League1682
- 19 SepDAris Thessalonikis Greece Super League1673
- 12 SepDAtromitos Greece Super League1657
- 7 SepWAsteras Tripolis Greece Super League1642
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalamata | 10 /7 | 30.2 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 8th |
| Iraklis 1908 | 9 /7 | 29.6 | 0% | <1% | 14% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct