Premier League · Regular Season - 28
Kaisar 1–4 Ordabasy
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Kaysar Arena, Kyzylorda
KaisarTeam 1378
OrdabasyTeam 1646- Klaidher 45'
- B. Johnsen 15' (pen)
- B. Johnsen 33', 72'
- D. Abagna 53'
We gave Ordabasy 51% to win: they did.
- 15'B. Johnsen – (pen.)
Ordabasy:B. Johnsen – (pen.) - 25'U. Zhaksybaev –
Ordabasy:U. Zhaksybaev – - 32'N. Antic –
Ordabasy:N. Antic – - 33'B. Johnsen – assist Leo Natel –
Ordabasy:B. Johnsen – assist Leo Natel – - Klaidher – assist N. Zhaksylyk –45'
Kaisar:Klaidher – assist N. Zhaksylyk – - R. Bagdat – for B. Konlimkos –46'
Kaisar:R. Bagdat – for B. Konlimkos – - 53'D. Abagna – assist B. Johnsen –
Ordabasy:D. Abagna – assist B. Johnsen – - Agostinho – for B. Tazhibay –58'
Kaisar:Agostinho – for B. Tazhibay – - E. Kaldybekov – for N. Cuckic –58'
Kaisar:E. Kaldybekov – for N. Cuckic – - A. Kenesbek –60'
Kaisar:A. Kenesbek – - 61'Z. Amir – for Leo Natel –
Ordabasy:Z. Amir – for Leo Natel – - 61'E. Astanov – for Everton –
Ordabasy:E. Astanov – for Everton – - 61'M. Capatina – for T. Keita –
Ordabasy:M. Capatina – for T. Keita – - 72'B. Johnsen –
Ordabasy:B. Johnsen – - Gustavo Zago – for N. Zhaksylyk –77'
Kaisar:Gustavo Zago – for N. Zhaksylyk – - A. Mukhammed – for V. Moses –77'
Kaisar:A. Mukhammed – for V. Moses – - 78'M. Toktybay – for B. Johnsen –
Ordabasy:M. Toktybay – for B. Johnsen – - 78'A. Nurymbet – for U. Zhaksybaev –
Ordabasy:A. Nurymbet – for U. Zhaksybaev –
Before kick-off (provisional): 22% · 26% · 51%(Kaisar · draw · Ordabasy)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–4 had 2%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kaisar €199K, Ordabasy €396K.
- Premier League: B. Shaizada was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1714).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kaisar
14th in Premier League · 24 pts from 26
- 18 SepDKyzyl-Zhar Kazakhstan Premier League1369
- 12 SepWAtyrau Kazakhstan Premier League1353
- 6 SepLAltay Kazakhstan Premier League1367
- 29 AugLOkzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League1390
- 25 AugLFK Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League1351
Ordabasy
2nd in Premier League · 58 pts from 25
- 17 SepWAtyrau Kazakhstan Premier League1628
- 12 SepWFC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League1641
- 5 SepLOkzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League1631
- 29 AugWKyzyl-Zhar Kazakhstan Premier League1634
- 8 AugWZhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League1660
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaisar | 24 /26 | 28.0 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 14th |
| Ordabasy | 58 /25 | 64.9 | 41% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Kaisar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1361
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –