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Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kairat Almaty 5–0 Irtysh

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty

Kairat Almaty crestKairat AlmatyTeam 1573
5–0
Full time
HT 3–0
Irtysh crestIrtyshTeam 1275

Match story

Kairat Almaty · draw · Irtysh

Before kick-off: 66% · 21% · 13%

Live chances: Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0% at 90+2'1' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 66%, draw 21%, Irtysh 13%2' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 66%, draw 21%, Irtysh 14%3' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 65%, draw 21%, Irtysh 14%4' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 65%, draw 21%, Irtysh 14%5' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 65%, draw 21%, Irtysh 14%6' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 65%, draw 21%, Irtysh 14%7' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 65%, draw 21%, Irtysh 14%8' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 64%, draw 22%, Irtysh 14%9' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 64%, draw 22%, Irtysh 14%10' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 64%, draw 22%, Irtysh 14%11' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 64%, draw 22%, Irtysh 14%12' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 64%, draw 22%, Irtysh 14%13' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 63%, draw 22%, Irtysh 14%14' · 0–0 · Kairat Almaty 63%, draw 23%, Irtysh 14%15' · 1–0 · Kairat Almaty 84%, draw 12%, Irtysh 4%16' · 1–0 · Kairat Almaty 84%, draw 12%, Irtysh 4%17' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%18' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%19' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%20' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%21' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%22' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%23' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%24' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%25' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%26' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%27' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%28' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%29' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%30' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%31' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%32' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%33' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%34' · 2–0 · Kairat Almaty 96%, draw 3%, Irtysh 1%35' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%36' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%37' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%38' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%39' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%40' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%41' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%42' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%43' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%44' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%45' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%45+1' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%HT · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%46' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%47' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%48' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%49' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 1%, Irtysh 0%50' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%51' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%52' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 99%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%53' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%54' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%55' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%56' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%57' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%58' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%59' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%60' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%61' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%62' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%63' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%64' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%65' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%66' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%67' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%68' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%69' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%70' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%71' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%72' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%73' · 3–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%74' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%75' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%76' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%77' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%78' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%79' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%80' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%81' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%82' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%83' · 4–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%84' · 5–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%85' · 5–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%86' · 5–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%87' · 5–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%88' · 5–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%89' · 5–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%90' · 5–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%90+1' · 5–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%90+2' · 5–0 · Kairat Almaty 100%, draw 0%, Irtysh 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Kairat Almaty 66% to win: they did.

  1. 15'Kairat Almaty:M. Gual 1691 +7 assist Edmilson 1638 +11
  2. 16'Kairat Almaty:Edmilson 1638 +11
  3. 26'Irtysh:R. Karimov 1334 −8
  4. 31'Irtysh:T. Mukhametzhanov 1238 for O. A. Falaye 1128 −8*
  5. 31'Irtysh:D. Esimbekov 1332 for N. Baybosynov 1190 −8*
  6. 34'Kairat Almaty:M. Gual 1691 +7 assist Edmilson 1638 +11
  7. 46'Irtysh:B. Sarnavskyi 1499 for M. Rikhard 1255 −2
  8. 46'Kairat Almaty:M. Abish 1406 for G. Mendonsa 1639 +13
  9. 49'Irtysh:T. Mukhametzhanov 1238
  10. 54'Kairat Almaty:A. Tuyakbaev 1358 +32
  11. 61'Kairat Almaty:I. Bekbolat 1448 for A. Martynovich 1458 +11
  12. 62'Kairat Almaty:O. Baybek 1456 for Edmilson 1638 +11
  13. 69'Irtysh:A. Nurlan 1172 for Leonardo Kalil 1335 −19*
  14. 69'Kairat Almaty:L. Kurgin 1582 for L. Mata 1676 +9
  15. 74'Kairat Almaty:M. Gual 1691 +7 assist I. Bekbolat 1448
  16. 79'Kairat Almaty:M. Birkurmanov 1355 for M. Gual 1691 +7
  17. 80'Irtysh:M. Khalmatov 1480 for L. Ramos 1249 −13*
  18. 82'Irtysh:B. Toleuov 1296 −5
  19. 84'Kairat Almaty:A. Tuyakbaev 1358 +32

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-3
GMiras Rikhard1255−2
DBakhtiyar Toleuov1296−5
DMamadou Mbodj1272−17*
DDemiyat Slambekov1309−16*
DSagi Malikaydar11680
DRuslan Yudenkov1240−15
MLucas Ramos1249−13*
DRamazan Karimov1334−8
FOluwabori Falaye1128−8*
FKalil1335−19*
MNurdaulet Baybosynov1190−8*
CMilan Milanović1405
Before kick-off: 66% · 21% · 13%(Kairat Almaty · draw · Irtysh)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 5–0 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Kairat Almaty €491K, Irtysh €125K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Kairat Almaty

2nd in Premier League · 60 pts from 26

  • 15 OctDRiga 1629
  • 17 SepLFC Astana 1619
  • 13 SepLFK Tobol Kostanay 1641
  • 9 SepWZhenys 1627
  • 5 SepWKaspiy 1589

Irtysh

13th in Premier League · 26 pts from 27

  • 14 OctLFC Astana 1340
  • 18 SepWAltay 1295
  • 13 SepWOkzhetpes 1272
  • 5 SepLZhetysu 1391
  • 30 AugWAktobe 1363

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Kairat Almaty60 /2665.420%100%0%2nd
Irtysh26 /2728.70%0%35%13th
Kairat Almaty
Irtysh

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Gustavo Mendonça
Gustavo Mendonça

Kairat Almaty · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1626

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Rafael Urazbakhtin

Coach DNA: –

Milan Milanović

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.