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Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 7

KAA Gent II 3–2 Seraing United

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Planet Group Arena, Ghent

KAA Gent II crestKAA Gent IITeam 1435
3–2
Full time
HT 1–2
Seraing United crestSeraing UnitedTeam 1372

Match story

KAA Gent II · draw · Seraing United

Before kick-off: 46% · 27% · 28%

Live chances: KAA Gent II 97%, draw 3%, Seraing United 0% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · KAA Gent II 46%, draw 27%, Seraing United 27%3' · 0–0 · KAA Gent II 46%, draw 27%, Seraing United 27%4' · 0–0 · KAA Gent II 45%, draw 27%, Seraing United 27%5' · 0–0 · KAA Gent II 45%, draw 27%, Seraing United 27%6' · 0–0 · KAA Gent II 45%, draw 27%, Seraing United 27%7' · 0–0 · KAA Gent II 45%, draw 28%, Seraing United 27%8' · 0–0 · KAA Gent II 45%, draw 28%, Seraing United 27%9' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 27%, draw 25%, Seraing United 49%10' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 26%, draw 25%, Seraing United 49%11' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 26%, draw 25%, Seraing United 49%12' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 26%, draw 25%, Seraing United 49%13' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 26%, draw 25%, Seraing United 49%14' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 25%, draw 25%, Seraing United 49%15' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 25%, draw 25%, Seraing United 50%16' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 25%, draw 25%, Seraing United 50%17' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 25%, draw 25%, Seraing United 50%18' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 24%, draw 26%, Seraing United 50%19' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 24%, draw 26%, Seraing United 50%20' · 0–1 · KAA Gent II 24%, draw 26%, Seraing United 51%21' · 1–1 · KAA Gent II 43%, draw 30%, Seraing United 27%22' · 1–1 · KAA Gent II 43%, draw 30%, Seraing United 27%23' · 1–1 · KAA Gent II 43%, draw 30%, Seraing United 27%24' · 1–1 · KAA Gent II 42%, draw 31%, Seraing United 27%25' · 1–1 · KAA Gent II 42%, draw 31%, Seraing United 27%26' · 1–1 · KAA Gent II 42%, draw 31%, Seraing United 27%27' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 22%, draw 26%, Seraing United 52%28' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 22%, draw 26%, Seraing United 52%29' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 21%, draw 26%, Seraing United 52%30' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 21%, draw 26%, Seraing United 53%31' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 21%, draw 26%, Seraing United 53%32' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 21%, draw 26%, Seraing United 53%33' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 20%, draw 26%, Seraing United 53%34' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 20%, draw 26%, Seraing United 54%35' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 20%, draw 26%, Seraing United 54%36' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 19%, draw 26%, Seraing United 54%37' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 19%, draw 26%, Seraing United 54%38' · 1–3 · KAA Gent II 4%, draw 11%, Seraing United 85%39' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 19%, draw 27%, Seraing United 55%40' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 18%, draw 27%, Seraing United 55%41' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 18%, draw 27%, Seraing United 56%42' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 18%, draw 27%, Seraing United 56%43' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 17%, draw 27%, Seraing United 56%44' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 17%, draw 27%, Seraing United 56%45' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 17%, draw 27%, Seraing United 57%45+1' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 16%, draw 27%, Seraing United 57%45+2' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 16%, draw 27%, Seraing United 57%HT · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 16%, draw 27%, Seraing United 58%46' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 15%, draw 27%, Seraing United 58%47' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 15%, draw 27%, Seraing United 58%48' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 15%, draw 27%, Seraing United 58%49' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 14%, draw 27%, Seraing United 59%50' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 14%, draw 27%, Seraing United 59%51' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 14%, draw 27%, Seraing United 60%52' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 13%, draw 27%, Seraing United 60%53' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 13%, draw 26%, Seraing United 61%54' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 13%, draw 26%, Seraing United 61%55' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 12%, draw 26%, Seraing United 62%56' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 12%, draw 26%, Seraing United 62%57' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 11%, draw 26%, Seraing United 63%58' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 11%, draw 26%, Seraing United 63%59' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 10%, draw 26%, Seraing United 64%60' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 10%, draw 26%, Seraing United 64%61' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 10%, draw 26%, Seraing United 65%62' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 9%, draw 25%, Seraing United 65%63' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 9%, draw 25%, Seraing United 66%64' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 9%, draw 25%, Seraing United 66%65' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 8%, draw 25%, Seraing United 67%66' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 8%, draw 25%, Seraing United 67%67' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 8%, draw 24%, Seraing United 68%68' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 7%, draw 24%, Seraing United 69%69' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 7%, draw 24%, Seraing United 69%70' · 1–2 · KAA Gent II 7%, draw 24%, Seraing United 70%71' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 26%, draw 55%, Seraing United 19%72' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 25%, draw 56%, Seraing United 19%73' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 25%, draw 57%, Seraing United 18%74' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 24%, draw 58%, Seraing United 18%75' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 23%, draw 59%, Seraing United 18%76' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 23%, draw 60%, Seraing United 17%77' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 22%, draw 61%, Seraing United 17%78' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 21%, draw 63%, Seraing United 16%79' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 20%, draw 64%, Seraing United 16%80' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 20%, draw 65%, Seraing United 15%81' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 19%, draw 67%, Seraing United 14%82' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 18%, draw 68%, Seraing United 14%83' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 17%, draw 70%, Seraing United 13%84' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 16%, draw 71%, Seraing United 13%85' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 15%, draw 73%, Seraing United 12%86' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 14%, draw 75%, Seraing United 11%87' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 13%, draw 76%, Seraing United 10%88' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 12%, draw 78%, Seraing United 10%89' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 11%, draw 80%, Seraing United 9%90' · 2–2 · KAA Gent II 10%, draw 82%, Seraing United 8%90+1' · 3–2 · KAA Gent II 93%, draw 7%, Seraing United 0%90+2' · 3–2 · KAA Gent II 94%, draw 6%, Seraing United 0%90+3' · 3–2 · KAA Gent II 95%, draw 4%, Seraing United 0%90+4' · 3–2 · KAA Gent II 97%, draw 3%, Seraing United 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave KAA Gent II 46% to win: they did.

  1. 9'Seraing United:A. Messoussa 1539 −19*
  2. 18'Seraing United:Victor Corneillie 1410 −9*
  3. 20'KAA Gent II:Abdoul Ayinde 1617 +47* assist Matisse Samoise 1960 +16*
  4. 26'Seraing United:Tom Lockman 1093 −8* assist A. Messoussa 1539 −19*
  5. 30'KAA Gent II:Abubakar Abdullahi 1601 +21*
  6. 50'Seraing United:Anas Namri 1368 −8*
  7. 64'KAA Gent II:Preben Blondeel 1258 +7* for Mamadou Diallo 1528 +59*
  8. 64'KAA Gent II:Jemiah Umolu 1139 +40* for Abdoul Ayinde 1617 +47*
  9. 64'KAA Gent II:Daniel James Wisdom 1235 +34* for Ali Donny 1302 +27*
  10. 64'Seraing United:Valerio Di Crescenzo 1110 −8* for Tom Lockman 1093 −8*
  11. 65'KAA Gent II:Trey Kongolo 1214 +50*
  12. 70'KAA Gent II:Daniel James Wisdom 1235 +34*
  13. 75'Seraing United:Nabil Bouchentouf 1207 −8* for Alexandre Tunkadi –
  14. 77'KAA Gent II:Joachim Eniola Djamba-Shango 1254 0* for Mohammed El Âdfaoui 1593 +17*
  15. 79'KAA Gent II:Jemiah Umolu 1139 +40*
  16. 84'Seraing United:Y. Lawson 1272 −8* for Fostave Mabani 1443 −8*
  17. 84'Seraing United:Reda Aamer 1181 −8* for Anas Namri 1368 −8*
  18. 87'KAA Gent II:Ruslan Vydysh 1531 −7* for Oleksandr Soroka 1566 +22*
  19. 90'KAA Gent II:Jemiah Umolu 1139 +40*
  20. 90+1'Seraing United:Moustapha Diop 1426 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2
GK. Peersman1607+21*
DM. Samoise1960+16*
DA. Ayindé1617+47*
DM. Diallo1528+59*
DG. De Meyer1647+26*
MA. Abdullahi1601+21*
MM. El Âdfaoui1593+17*
MO. Soroka1566+22*
MG. Vanderdonck1364+38*
FA. Donny1302+27*
FT. Kongolo1214+50*
CThomas Matton1576+51*
GN. Gillekens1457−8*
DL. Gregoire1202−8*
DV. Corneillie1410−9*
DMoustapha Diop1426−8*
DO. Kébé1517−10*
MA. Tunkadi1615−21*
MM. Scarpinati1454−8*
MA. Namri1368−8*
MF. Mabani1443−8*
FT. Lockman1093−8*
FA. Messoussa1539−19*
CA. Mercier1384−8*
Before kick-off: 46% · 27% · 28%(KAA Gent II · draw · Seraing United)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: KAA Gent II €603K, Seraing United €209K.
  • Challenger Pro League: M. Samoise was the highest-rated defender (1944).
  • Style contrast in possession (Challenger Pro League): KAA Gent II ranked #2 of 15, Seraing United #14.
  • Only 1 of KAA Gent II's expected starters was past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

KAA Gent II

11th in Challenger Pro League · 5 pts from 5

  • 18 SepDClub Brugge II 1491
  • 11 SepLDender 1449
  • 5 SepDRSC Anderlecht II 1477
  • 3 AprLKortrijk 1544
  • 15 MarLLokeren-Temse 1431

Seraing United

14th in Challenger Pro League · 2 pts from 6

  • 19 SepDKRC Genk II 1384
  • 12 SepLSporting Hasselt 1410
  • 4 SepLDender 1340
  • 5 AprWPatro Eisden 1474
  • 20 MarDAS Eupen 1465

Season outlook

From the Challenger Pro League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
KAA Gent II5 /540.9<1%26%3%4th
Seraing United2 /625.30%<1%74%15th
KAA Gent II
Seraing United

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Challenger Pro League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

O. Soroka
O. Soroka

KAA Gent II · -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1544

N. Gillekens
N. Gillekens

Seraing United · -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1466

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Thomas Matton

Coach DNA: possession-based

Arnauld Mercier

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

KAA Gent II: possession-based (how Thomas Matton plays) · Seraing United: direct · low-volume (how Arnauld Mercier plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.