Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 9
KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Planet Group Arena, Gent
KAA Gent II host K. Lierse S.K. on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Challenger Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: KAA Gent II 51%, draw 27%, K. Lierse S.K. 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: KAA Gent II €585K, K. Lierse S.K. €275K.
- Challenger Pro League: M. Samoise is the highest-rated defender (1960).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Challenger Pro League): KAA Gent II rank #13 of 15, K. Lierse S.K. #4.
- Only 1 of KAA Gent II's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. KAA Gent II goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: KAA Gent II 1581 · K. Lierse S.K. 1450
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
KAA Gent II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1960
K. Lierse S.K. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1334
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KAA Gent II
10th in Challenger Pro League · 8 pts from 6
- 11 OctWSeraing United Belgium Challenger Pro League1508
- 18 SepDClub Brugge II Belgium Challenger Pro League1491
- 11 SepLDender Belgium Challenger Pro League1449
- 5 SepDRSC Anderlecht II Belgium Challenger Pro League1477
- 3 AprLKortrijk Belgium Challenger Pro League1544
K. Lierse S.K.
8th in Challenger Pro League · 8 pts from 6
- 10 OctWFrancs Borains Belgium Challenger Pro League1435
- 11 SepLBeerschot VA Belgium Challenger Pro League1422
- 6 SepDLiège Belgium Challenger Pro League1409
- 13 MarLPatro Eisden Belgium Challenger Pro League1562
- 10 MarWAS Eupen Belgium Challenger Pro League1495
Season outlook
From the Challenger Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent II | 8 /6 | 43.6 | 1% | 40% | 1% | 4th |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 8 /6 | 35.6 | <1% | 5% | 12% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KAA Gent II: possession-based (how Thomas Matton plays) · K. Lierse S.K.: balanced profile (how Arno Van Den Abbeel plays)