Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 11
KAA Gent II vs Francs Borains
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Planet Group Arena, Gent
KAA Gent II host Francs Borains on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Challenger Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: KAA Gent II 38%, draw 29%, Francs Borains 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: KAA Gent II €554K, Francs Borains €260K.
- Home advantage makes KAA Gent II the favourite here: it adds 4 points to their win chance.
- Challenger Pro League: M. Samoise is the highest-rated defender (1962).
- Style contrast in possession (Challenger Pro League): KAA Gent II rank #2 of 15, Francs Borains #12.
- Only 1 of KAA Gent II's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. KAA Gent II goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 0–08%
- 1–28%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: KAA Gent II 1466 · Francs Borains 1485
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
KAA Gent II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1962
Francs Borains · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1538
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KAA Gent II
9th in Challenger Pro League · 12 pts from 9
- 6 NovDKRC Genk II Belgium Challenger Pro League1430
- 30 OctWK. Lierse S.K. Belgium Challenger Pro League1462
- 24 OctLLokeren-Temse Belgium Challenger Pro League1350
- 11 OctWSeraing United Belgium Challenger Pro League1491
- 18 SepDClub Brugge II Belgium Challenger Pro League1473
Francs Borains
4th in Challenger Pro League · 18 pts from 9
- 7 NovWSeraing United Belgium Challenger Pro League1485
- 4 NovWDender Belgium Challenger Pro League1458
- 31 OctLBeerschot VA Belgium Challenger Pro League1494
- 10 OctLK. Lierse S.K. Belgium Challenger Pro League1504
- 18 SepWRSC Anderlecht II Belgium Challenger Pro League1485
Season outlook
From the Challenger Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent II | 12 /9 | 36.7 | <1% | 8% | 10% | 8th |
| Francs Borains | 18 /9 | 43.0 | 1% | 37% | 1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KAA Gent II: possession-based (how Thomas Matton plays) · Francs Borains: balanced profile (how Yves Vanderhaeghe plays)