Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 10
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
K. Lierse S.K. host AS Eupen on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Challenger Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: K. Lierse S.K. 24%, draw 27%, AS Eupen 49%.
- Average value of the expected XI: K. Lierse S.K. €263K, AS Eupen €527K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Challenger Pro League matchday 10: 226 points.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Challenger Pro League): K. Lierse S.K. rank #4 of 15, AS Eupen #12.
- All 11 of AS Eupen's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- AS Eupen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. K. Lierse S.K. goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: K. Lierse S.K. 1464 · AS Eupen 1690
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
K. Lierse S.K. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1334
AS Eupen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1784
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
K. Lierse S.K.
8th in Challenger Pro League · 8 pts from 6
- 10 OctWFrancs Borains Belgium Challenger Pro League1435
- 11 SepLBeerschot VA Belgium Challenger Pro League1422
- 6 SepDLiège Belgium Challenger Pro League1409
- 13 MarLPatro Eisden Belgium Challenger Pro League1562
- 10 MarWAS Eupen Belgium Challenger Pro League1495
AS Eupen
3rd in Challenger Pro League · 15 pts from 6
- 9 OctWRSC Anderlecht II Belgium Challenger Pro League1667
- 19 SepWLiège Belgium Challenger Pro League1630
- 13 SepWPatro Eisden Belgium Challenger Pro League1606
- 5 SepWClub Brugge II Belgium Challenger Pro League1652
- 20 MarDSeraing United Belgium Challenger Pro League1681
Season outlook
From the Challenger Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lierse S.K. | 8 /6 | 35.1 | 0% | 6% | 12% | 9th |
| AS Eupen | 15 /6 | 56.0 | 44% | 97% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
K. Lierse S.K.: balanced profile (how Arno Van Den Abbeel plays) · AS Eupen: low-volume (how Felice Mazzù plays)